Ha ha!!! To the New Year, happy!!! Is the beginning of a new starting point!!!
New Year will have to buy new clothes for her mother do??? Delusion!!! From my elementary school started, I did not wear Mom had to buy new clothes. is the parents that relatives and friends through the rest of my brother and sister, pop a little better, mostly rustic.
some money!!! Do not try to twenty and from parents years ago, said: br> back just in Sichuan, but also delayed a few days training. coaches, anxious, and I took advantage of the opportunity with the whole body is still sore after training for strength, Pidianpidian the run!!!
back today and then started repeating and boring (more monotonous winter training program) training, and hard day, when taking a bath that, alas! Sichuan, a refreshing change after the skin back, and acne are gone. Haha, really a place where old times !!!
And in this land full of history and culture, 08 occurred in a huge disaster. But after suffering the vicissitudes of life, and strong people here stand up and face was resolute and confident smile ! They all call for a common slogan: bit line of Olympic champions, once again to hit Deyang!!!
Deyang East this time to attend their annual steam secondary sun sports games. played the national anthem at the opening ceremony of the raising of the flag, I was appointed to the School of East Steam sophomore year, momentum, had David and Goliath victory over high-grade record, won the second prize in a tug of war contest group!!! excited!!! side pull barefoot and shout, know how to do!!!
Unity is strength!!!
funny is that after the tug of war, I was invited to our grade female students participated in the women's sit-ups contest. Ha ha! total five, playing rotation, to a total of up to win my first play, a man of foreign aid as a victory slogan is the lyrics: I am a girl!!! cancel the performance of senior grade. haha!!! Having said that, we are pleased to accept the referee.
Games ended, the class teacher said to me: Today the students are happy, never seen them so united over! Thank you so much gave them such a memorable experience!
I heard, too, was deeply touched, maybe something is the passion and vitality of our athletes infected with these disasters and difficulties experienced in the shadow of the students. If it is, I feel very proud! However, I believe they are more than we thought, stronger and more optimistic!!! This is my second visit to the purpose of Deyang.
farewell group photo when we grade, teachers say they like you make them the class teacher, I unhesitatingly shouted: Although so short!!!
parting students gave me the best New Year gift, is lucky the whole class each paper cranes folded, and each person wrote in the paper cranes for my New Year wishes!
I think these desires are the most meaningful I have received the most precious new year gift, I thought the students appreciate these lovely, I realize that this world than money, benefits, more valuable is the truth! < br> I think I would not take back a child looking forward to my mother bought me new clothes, and in high school I left Eastern steam that moment, I know, I grew up!!!
Monday, February 28, 2011
Sunday, February 27, 2011
Diagnostics 2009 - toward personalized medicine
Nursing Diagnosis and cooperation between the pharmaceutical industry
diagnostic industry and pharmaceutical industry has not yet become a reality
2008 Joint Declaration of the seven pharmaceutical and diagnostic companies partnerships for the development of nursing diagnosis. This cooperation in 2007 compared to 14, is a significant decline, but 2004-2008 was not a clear downward trend, or the average number of transactions, changes in the 6-14. and pharmaceutical care to achieve diagnosis of co-operation has not yet become the industry practice.
2008 for all transactions focused in the tumor area
2008 partnership announced in response to the three themes:
tumor development options as a nursing diagnosis has attracted strong interest in .2008, all transactions are concentrated in tumor diagnosis.
large pharmaceutical company as the pharmaceutical and diagnostics industry cooperation side, with a dominant .2008, seven pharmaceutical partners in the six are the top 20 selling prescription drugs ( IMS2008 ranking). OSI is the only exception, but Roche is in this transaction the joint partners, to develop cancer drugs to determine whether the patient responded to Tarceva genetic pharmacology testing. In this study, we believe that contains all of Genetech transactions are transactions for large pharmaceutical companies, because there Roche Holding of Genetech, and in 2009 will become a wholly-owned;
have a competitive advantage in vitro diagnostic reagents and pharmaceutical manufacturers in the industry side of the cooperation in the initiative. In 2008, Abbott is a pharmaceutical company with third-party co-operation nursing diagnosis the only major manufacturers in vitro diagnostic reagents other diagnostic .2008 trading partners announced mmAureon, Celera, Dako and DxS are the top ten in vitro diagnostic reagents. < br> 2008 年 Nursing Diagnosis cooperation
similar theme appears also found in the 2004-2008 nursing diagnosis of pharmaceuticals and diagnostics industry, licensed trade cooperation.
Roche, Pfizer and Merck in 2004-2008 is the most active partners
Roche pharmaceutical pharmaceutical sector, including the Genetech, is the field of diagnosis 2004-2008, the most active third-party pharmaceutical licensing partners, announced 10 transactions, while the annual average 2. Pfizer, Merck and AstraZeneca followed by Roche, were co-diagnosis of 6,5 and 3.
2004-2008, if we consider the other in vitro diagnostic reagents with a large pharmaceutical company subsidiaries mmAbbott , Bayer and Johnson & Johnson mm have announced more than one diagnostic companies and third-party collaboration, Roche Diagnostics as the pharmaceutical industry with the party leadership in companies is significant. However, these diagnostic or panoramic field of view is not known because their cooperative projects pharmaceutical companies, diagnostic internal transparency is very low.
pharmaceutical company announced two years in the 2004-2008 nursing diagnosis of cooperation, including:
large pharmaceutical companies: Amgen, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Eli Lilly and Schering-Plough;
small and medium sized pharmaceutical companies: Biogen Idec and Ipsen.
other nine laboratories for the nursing diagnosis, only a licensing deal announced:
the first time in the company: Aphton, ARCA, Isis and Keryx.OSI Pharmaceuticals and Abbott in 2008 is not taken into account and the transaction.
Biogen Idec and medium-sized pharmaceutical company Ipsen in Chinese
the most active partners completed a series of partners from the pharmaceutical diagnostic industry transactions are concentrated in large pharmaceutical companies .2004-2008, only two top 20 after the company announced at least two transactions.
Biogen Idec United States and France, Ipsen, respectively, ranked by sales of prescription drugs 44 and 69, announced their diagnostic reagents have two licensing deals.
in Ipsen's trading, the company CEO, Jean-Luc Belingard, has important diagnostic industry experience, he was a senior executive Roche Diagnostics Division staff, Later, the company has done some diagnostic board. compared to other medium-sized pharmaceutical companies, Ipsen may therefore be more understanding when and how to best develop the potential value of nursing diagnosis. In the case of Biogen Idec, the company's antibody technology used and in vitro diagnostic reagents can enhance the potential application of synergistic effect.
Ipsen announced it in 2007 and bioMerieux, Celera Diagnostics cooperation of the two:
bioMerieux agreed to use its NucliSENS EasyQ molecular diagnostic testing platform for R & D to help doctors determine patients the effect of BN83495 Ipsen drug candidates. BN83495 breast cancer I was being experimental.
Celera agreed to help develop technology replacement therapy Ipsen drug testing. Celera first determine the classification of genetic markers and development diagnostic prediction. The purpose is to develop nursing diagnosis Ipsen.
Biogen Idec2004 announced Dyax and Epigenomics of two diagnostic cooperation:
Dyax agreed to provide the human antibody library and Biogen Idec to identify therapeutic and diagnostic classification antibody;
? Epigenomics announced that it will use the DNA methylation technology to help Biogen Idec classification potential cancer biomarkers, and to detect patients with drug reactions that can be used as biomarkers for predicted objects. Its purpose is to provide information to help provide basic medical treatment guidance.
deal with the pharmaceutical industry, the most active partners are diagnostic manufacturers a competitive advantage for the nursing diagnosis
series of transactions are limited to diagnostic companies. only 4 a diagnostic company announced in 2004-2008 that at least two years and the cooperation of pharmaceutical companies, and they are all advantages of companies: Celera, Dako, Epigenomics and Perlegen.Dako is one of the largest companies, net sales in 2008 reached 322 million dollars.
this, there are 3 comments:
1. For the diagnosis of companies, the pharmaceutical industry is not a priority market. R & D risk and time to market pharmaceutical-related industries make the diagnosis of a large manufacturer of nursing diagnosis lost interest, and concentrated in a relatively traditional clinical laboratory market.
2. Company Limited deal flow that the company even if the diagnosis of strengths, R & D as expected economic effects of nursing diagnosis is not always attractive. Nursing Diagnosis project is expected to net present value of the key factors, including IPR, pricing and compensation, scope, and extent of testing required by regulators.
3. against those targeting the pharmaceutical industry, diagnostic companies, some are independent of cooperation in research and development pharmaceutical company nursing diagnosis. When diagnostics company has received funding and adequate, high-quality biological samples, this method can guarantee to keep profits within the company.
2004-2008 attracted a half years of cancer care Diagnosis of deal flow
2004-2008, about half of the nursing diagnosis cooperation (45 in 21) is for tumor diagnosis, which consists of three key factors driving:
1. pathology of the disease , the importance of genetic causes;
2. The extent of research in the field;
3. high-priced cancer treatment.
2004-2008 years of nursing diagnosis of different disease areas of cooperation
2004-2008 half of the tumor to attract deal flow
2004-2008 nursing diagnosis, about half of the nursing diagnosis cooperation (45 of 21) was diagnosed for cancer, and this driven by three key factors:
1. pathology of the disease, the importance of genetic causes;
2. The extent of research in the field;
3. high-priced cancer treatment.
2004-2008 in the field of nursing diagnosis of different diseases co < br> Looking
Dako announced in 2009 and the first nursing diagnosis pharmaceutical co. In this transaction, Dako will use it pharmDx line of kits with OSI to develop new cancer drugs test.
We expect the next five years, more and more every year pharmaceutical and diagnostic companies on the diagnosis of co-operation. regulators and consumers need to help the diagnosis of drug use, which will increase the urgency of pharmaceutical companies .
personalized medicine
ten major R & D more personalized medicine, ideas, although not new, but it has not transformed from concept to reality, except a few public examples, such as Herceptin. the completion of the Human Genome Project and advanced tools for molecular medicine advances give us hope. but in a clinical innovation is often required on longer than expected to achieve. In addition to time, the opportunities large events is also critical. do not have such big events and scientific or technology related. recombinant DNA may be today on the progress of the bio-pharmaceutical giant Amgen and Genetech preconditions appear, but some people would say is a key implementer of the Orphan Drug Act of 1983, it is also a small market size indicator When given a valuable indicator of market protection. Many biomarkers market looks relatively small, which may make the diagnosis of the largest companies do not conduct basic research in this area.
overview of personalized medicine that may be important for the big event, we announced early last year a major event from the selected 10:
? EU level the Netherlands, Luxembourg, and the U.S. government fund;
? U.S. and European regulatory proposals;
? consumption testing and clinical testing technology;
? new molecular diagnostics in clinical practice recommendations.
2008 年 1 months of personalized medicine practice
ten major events would tell us, what events in individual the development of medicine is the most important. We offer these ten major events further background.
1. the Dutch government allocated 150 million euros to finance industry and academia in personalized medicine project (April 7, 2008)
Dutch PSV The Centre for Translational Molecular Medicine (CTMM) announced that for cardiovascular disease, cancer, genetic diseases, mental illness and infection field of personalized medicine research project on the 300 million euros fund. the public - individual cooperation projects by the Government of the Netherlands (50%), academic (25%) and industry (25%) funded, are working to improve the clinical treatment of specific diseases and to reduce future government spending in the health sector. All funded projects For the diagnosis must be accelerated to reduce the excessive intervention, fewer side effects and more effective drug use. To achieve these, many CTMM project will focus on the early development of the disease associated with biological markers. All CTMM projects will The Advisory Committee is an independent assessment.
2. Luxembourg government allocated 140 million euros to develop bio-banks, testing and systems biology of lung cancer (June 5, 2008)
Grand Duchy of Luxembourg government announced five years, investments 140 000 000 euros in three personalized medicine projects. a project beyond its original motivation of the health and research to promote Luxembourg's life sciences cluster, to help national economic classification. The program design 3 with a personalized medicine knowledge of American Studies sector participation: Phoenix of the Translational Genomics Research Institute (TGen), Partnership for Personalized Medicine (PPM) and the Seattle Institute for Systems Biology (ISB). three additional projects:
? Luxembourg integrated biological Bank (IBBL) of the establishment;
? Luxembourg Systems Biology Centre (CSBL) establishment;
? to more effective diagnosis and control of diseases, lung cancer biomarkers in the selection and confirmation.
3. EU-funded SMART-BIOMEMS DNA diagnosis equipment development project (December 10, 2008)
Desktop DNA of a new medical diagnostic equipment commercially in 2012. The project is called SMART-BIOMEMS development of equipment, funded by the European Union, concerned about personalized medicine on direct clinical significance. SMART-BIOMEMS diagnosis includes a mobile micro-system to connect personal computers, used in the diagnosis of early disease spectrum. prototype shape in March 2009, was specifically designed to detect and diagnose cancer .
4. United States Government for specific diseases, funding medical treatment comparison (February 16, 2009)
7870 billion economic stimulus includes $ 110 in funding for the disease, the effects of different treatment comparison. of action by a committee of 15 federal employees coordinate regulation, they also President of the United States the distribution of the Fund to make recommendations on the issue. scientific literature review and clinical trials may provide a lot of evidence of treatment effectiveness and value. congressman Peter Stack said that the U.S. spent $ 2,000,000,000,000 per year (GDP of 16%) on health care, but Congress did not specify the use of funds, critics fear it would interfere with doctor-patient relationship. Although details of the project has not yet defined, but the diagnosis plays an important role in the treatment have been instructions. provide a more comprehensive diagnosis of the molecular differences in depth, so that researchers can more accurately assess which therapy on which patients effectively, why it works.
5. American genetic information non-discrimination Act (GINA) signing (May 21, 2008); the European Parliament signed a similar agreement (2008 May 7)
GINA protect individuals, protect them from the health insurance and work, to bring the genetic information may experience discrimination. Similar laws have been effective in 34 states, but the federal level, GINA the first law. GINA through before Congress for 13 years it's discussion to identify personalized medicine to help individuals in the benefit of new technology, without fear of being discriminated against. diagnostic industry in the hope of encouraging the use of clinical trials in the GINA benefit and other research activities. to increase patient education and understanding of the genetic characteristics of the disease is expected to increase patient demand for diagnostic tests. Although a relatively new technology based on genetic and chromosome testing is limited in the United States, but the potential increase in patient requests change. Diagnostic molecular diagnostic company wants Congress to give a favorable position to support the effective personalized medicine. This in turn encourages more research and development. In the May 7, 2008, similar programs in Europe have been used: the European Parliament Committee of Ministers adopted the Convention on Human Rights and the purpose of genetic testing on health care biomedical new additional protocol.
6.Genetech citizens submitted a petition requesting FDA in vitro diagnostic reagents for all treatment decisions to use the same standard test
Genetech Research launched a series of targeted therapies, including Herceptin, Avastin and Tarceva, which requires a number of diagnostic tests to support prescribing decisions. some tests based on different clinical testing and regulatory process. petition submitted at the December 5, FDA requires testing of all in vitro diagnostic reagents test is not FDA regulated. Deadline June 1, 2009, was FDA petition registration Ten Genetech opinion:
? Johns Hopkins University Genetics and Public Policy Center, Fujirebio Diagnostics, and Agendia support;
? Coalition for 21st Century Medicine in two instalments, the American Clinical Laboratory Association (ACLA) and the Association for Molecular Pathology of the opposition;
? Roche's support;
? The Advanced Medical Technology Association (AdvaMed) for the the risk of regulatory 7.FDA consider Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services in the diagnosis of co-operation (December 25, 2008)
from FDA regulation in vitro diagnostic reagents, said the representative of the test suite, FDA will look and Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) cooperative approach, CMS through CLIA Laboratory United States regulatory body tests to identify their products in the regulatory role of gene diagnosis. The comments, in September 2008 by the President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology (PCAST ) published on the new diagnostic tools for major obstacle. We look forward to the discussion of Genetech citizen petition.
8.deCode issue assess the risk of prostate cancer DNA testing method deCode PrCa (2008 年 2 月 20 日)
deCODE announced the release of deCODE PrCa , an increased risk of prostate cancer to determine the genetic changes related to testing methods. The test method standard in the process of CLIA laboratory markers, is designed to detect single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). deCode believe that this test for the improvement and personalized diagnosis and treatment of prostate cancer has important clinical relevance agreement. deCODE also effective tests include type II diabetes, atrial fibrillation, stroke and heart attack.
9. large sample test of the gene guiding warfarin dose test (February 20, 2009)
the optimal dose of medication to prevent blood clots warfarin differ significantly between different patients. one from seven hospitals in Europe included 2700 patients in clinical trials and research groups will be used to detect a genetic profile to determine the patient developed based on the ideal dose method. The international research team has developed a mathematical formula based on genetic information, it seems than the traditional method gives more accurate prediction correct dosage.
10. Netherlands Cancer Institute breast cancer test MammaPrint Agedia health standards (February 4, 2009)
molecular diagnostics company, Agendia, announced that its method of breast cancer tumor recurrence test, MammaPrint, has been The Dutch Institute for Healthcare Improvement (CBO) in 2008 included the updated guidelines. In February 2007, MammaPrint been reported is the FDA in vitro diagnostic reagents in the new multiple index detection (in vitro diagnostic reagents MIA) guidelines for the first cleared in vitro diagnostic test kit . CBO now provided from the Netherlands MammaPrint predictive value of clinical recognition, and its purpose is to determine each patient's risk profile and guide subsequent treatment. MammaPrint is a DNA microarray test, measurement, surgical removal of breast cancer in women of 70 genes expression. The test results in combination with other clinical information and laboratory tests to help doctors plan treatment and follow.
personalized medicine
Case Study Case Study 1 - Translational Genomics Research Institute Translational Genomics
Institute (TGen) is a nonprofit organization dedicated to the development of predictive diagnostics and treatment with precisely. TGen by the Dr. Jeffrey Trent established in 2002.
TGen researchers on the validity of the translation process has contributed to , by studying common and complex genetic component of diseases, including oncology, neurology and metabolic diseases, the progress of the process into a clinical study. eventually, TGen's goal is to increase the medical knowledge of individual genetic variation, and rapid development of diagnosis and treatment for the disease.
this concern started in 2008 with the diagnosis, gene technology, biomarkers identification and commercial activities related to:
? in January 2008, TGen, and a International Working Group announced a blood test indicates the risk of men suffering from prostate cancer study results;
? 2008 年 9 月, TGen investors announced that they have developed a rapid detection method for human genome, the cost for other methods of 1 / 10. This technology can quickly find the genes that may affect changes in human health;
? or in September 2008, a TGen-led international team identified a specific brain protein KIBRA and late onset Alzheimer's disease relationship. The discovery of the translation phase of protein as biological markers to determine disease risk;
? in October 2008, TGen spin-off third company MedTrust Online, to help doctors access patient information, providing them the best treatment.
Case Study 2-Genomic Health Company
Genomic Health to find gene-based molecular diagnostic development and commercialization of improved cancer treatment. Founded in 2000, from the current Executive Chairman Randy Scott in California RedWood City established. the company is committed to development based on genetic characteristics of patients with a more personalized cancer treatment tools.
research and development company focused on identifying those unique identifying specific genes and gene expression of tumor types. These features can help doctors understand tumor-specific treatment is effective, and whether the tumor will recur. Genomic Health clinical cooperative network.
in the first round 4 times before the public offering to raise 0.51 billion dollars, and in 2005 listed Also raised 060 million U.S. dollars.
in January 2004, Genomic Health's CLIA certified clinical laboratory has been to complete the company's first test, Oncotype DX. the same month, the first commercial Oncotype DX-tumor samples test was also analyzed. Oncotype DX in January 2006 by the Medicare company, in November 2006 by the United States largest personal insurance company Aetna, one of the certification on compensation. Now Oncotype DX through contracts, policies and agreements have been covered 90% of the U.S. insurance population. Oncotype DX is recommended in clinical guidance, and included into the standard of care of patients with early breast cancer.
now Oncotype DX has been to help doctors choose the right, there are cost-effective drugs for treatment.
the company is also developing other tumors. In June 2006, the Company and National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project (NSABP) released the results of colon cancer; January 2009, the company announced the Oncotype DX clinically effective in colon cancer.
in co-operation, in January 2008, the company announced that Pfizer R & D cooperation and assess the recurrence of non-metastatic renal cell carcinoma risk of the diagnosis of disease.
Case Study 3-DxS
DxS is a personalized medicine company providing molecular diagnostics to help physicians and pharmaceutical companies based on the patient the drug of choice, especially for lung and colon cancer. company uses its unique real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) technology, Scorpions, as the technology base of products and services.
company is headquartered in Manchester, has 60 employees. the company was founded in 2001 by CEO Dr. Stephen Little and CSO Dr. David Whitcombe established. They are all former employees AstraZeneca Diagnostics Division.
DxS product detection and drug reactions associated with cancer gene mutation, and includes nursing diagnosis of a CE mark program, used in:
? CE mark, including cancer mutation diagnostic products, TheraScreen range of lung and colon cancer to help doctors make more effective prescription treatment. DxS plan released in the next 2 years more in the diagnosis of cancer sets;
? diagnostic reagents, including EGFR, RAS, RAF, BCF-ABL cancer gene mutation and other products.
the cooperation of a large industrial companies DxS help develop its business. Dr Stephen Little said: including:
? pharmaceutical industry: In December 2008, DxS and Amgen signed an agreement to provide the K-Ras Vectibix nursing diagnosis;
? diagnostic industry: In February 2009, DxS authorized DuPont Qualicon a license to use it to develop diagnostic platform Scorpion food industry to use the test.
company also provides genetic analysis services to support drug discovery, tumor variation analysis and DNA extraction services. This business is pharmaceutical and diagnostic industry more and more support.
DxS has chosen a business model for diagnosis, including product development activities from the services business generated cash flow support, and now the product started to have their own profit.
DxS plans to hire more than 20 people, scheduled June 30, 2008 generated £ 3,000,000 before income generated 10 million pounds this time next year.
Case Study 4 - dose of warfarin genetic testing of health economics, science
warfarin
Lin, commonly used anticoagulant for the prevention and control of blood clots, it is difficult to use because a reasonable dose vary widely between patients. If the dose is too strong, increasing the risk of serious bleeding; if the dose is too small, increased risk of stroke .
The Critical Path Institute organized a major pharmaceutical manufacturers in the body, as an independent third party to manage their private data. The findings, presented to the FDA, FDA in September 2007 changed the warfarin label. Now doctors are required to use genetic testing before treatment. This is achieved in the clinical progress of personalized medicine.
Economics
2006 年 11 月, the influential Brookings Institute issued its decision on genetic testing for reasonable warfarin dose, medical savings report. Their conclusion is: ;
However, in April 2008, the largest U.S. insurance company BlueCross-BlueShield announced their conclusion: genetic test can not serve as standards of care.
further study confirmed that the dose of warfarin genetic testing will improve the patient's clinical outcome, but the high cost of the improved method. In January 2009 the international medical research published annual, based on the data model the researchers, show that access to each of the cost of more than 170,000 U.S. dollars. They further calculated only when the high-risk bleeding patients only on the selective use of economic force and therefore can prevent at least 1 / 3 of major bleeding events.
2009 年 5 months, the U.S. Federal Government Medicare health insurance over 65 issued a decision not to pay millions each year patients dose of warfarin genetic test.
but recommended for participation in clinical trials, Medicare patients pay for genetic tests to help doctors continue to study. NIH COAG in 2009 began a period of 3 years of large-scale research will continue to choose warfarin further clinical and economic evidence.
Case Study 5 - today the development of bio-banks
this case based Dr. Robert Hewitt's report, He was designated as the implementation of the Luxembourg banks were integrated bio.
the early history of medical research from the beginning, the collection and analysis of biological samples have been there needs. These samples should be stored appropriately, is conducive to clinical research and patient privacy protection. particularly in the demand for diagnostic tests developed, so that high-quality standardized research as possible.
banking sector in a growing number of biological research collaboration, sharing, and the same sample under the standard, becoming more organized In 1987 in the US Cooperative Human Tissue Network (CHTN) the establishment of an important milestone in the network of biological banks, as well as 1999, the International Society for Biological and Environmental Repositories (ISBER) establishment. ISBER provide clinical and bio-banks from the full name bio-environment and biodiversity banks to capture the full spectrum of services. Its members include the US National Cancer Institute (NCI), Centers for Disease Control (CDC. ..
diagnostic industry and pharmaceutical industry has not yet become a reality
2008 Joint Declaration of the seven pharmaceutical and diagnostic companies partnerships for the development of nursing diagnosis. This cooperation in 2007 compared to 14, is a significant decline, but 2004-2008 was not a clear downward trend, or the average number of transactions, changes in the 6-14. and pharmaceutical care to achieve diagnosis of co-operation has not yet become the industry practice.
2008 for all transactions focused in the tumor area
2008 partnership announced in response to the three themes:
tumor development options as a nursing diagnosis has attracted strong interest in .2008, all transactions are concentrated in tumor diagnosis.
large pharmaceutical company as the pharmaceutical and diagnostics industry cooperation side, with a dominant .2008, seven pharmaceutical partners in the six are the top 20 selling prescription drugs ( IMS2008 ranking). OSI is the only exception, but Roche is in this transaction the joint partners, to develop cancer drugs to determine whether the patient responded to Tarceva genetic pharmacology testing. In this study, we believe that contains all of Genetech transactions are transactions for large pharmaceutical companies, because there Roche Holding of Genetech, and in 2009 will become a wholly-owned;
have a competitive advantage in vitro diagnostic reagents and pharmaceutical manufacturers in the industry side of the cooperation in the initiative. In 2008, Abbott is a pharmaceutical company with third-party co-operation nursing diagnosis the only major manufacturers in vitro diagnostic reagents other diagnostic .2008 trading partners announced mmAureon, Celera, Dako and DxS are the top ten in vitro diagnostic reagents. < br> 2008 年 Nursing Diagnosis cooperation
similar theme appears also found in the 2004-2008 nursing diagnosis of pharmaceuticals and diagnostics industry, licensed trade cooperation.
Roche, Pfizer and Merck in 2004-2008 is the most active partners
Roche pharmaceutical pharmaceutical sector, including the Genetech, is the field of diagnosis 2004-2008, the most active third-party pharmaceutical licensing partners, announced 10 transactions, while the annual average 2. Pfizer, Merck and AstraZeneca followed by Roche, were co-diagnosis of 6,5 and 3.
2004-2008, if we consider the other in vitro diagnostic reagents with a large pharmaceutical company subsidiaries mmAbbott , Bayer and Johnson & Johnson mm have announced more than one diagnostic companies and third-party collaboration, Roche Diagnostics as the pharmaceutical industry with the party leadership in companies is significant. However, these diagnostic or panoramic field of view is not known because their cooperative projects pharmaceutical companies, diagnostic internal transparency is very low.
pharmaceutical company announced two years in the 2004-2008 nursing diagnosis of cooperation, including:
large pharmaceutical companies: Amgen, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Eli Lilly and Schering-Plough;
small and medium sized pharmaceutical companies: Biogen Idec and Ipsen.
other nine laboratories for the nursing diagnosis, only a licensing deal announced:
the first time in the company: Aphton, ARCA, Isis and Keryx.OSI Pharmaceuticals and Abbott in 2008 is not taken into account and the transaction.
Biogen Idec and medium-sized pharmaceutical company Ipsen in Chinese
the most active partners completed a series of partners from the pharmaceutical diagnostic industry transactions are concentrated in large pharmaceutical companies .2004-2008, only two top 20 after the company announced at least two transactions.
Biogen Idec United States and France, Ipsen, respectively, ranked by sales of prescription drugs 44 and 69, announced their diagnostic reagents have two licensing deals.
in Ipsen's trading, the company CEO, Jean-Luc Belingard, has important diagnostic industry experience, he was a senior executive Roche Diagnostics Division staff, Later, the company has done some diagnostic board. compared to other medium-sized pharmaceutical companies, Ipsen may therefore be more understanding when and how to best develop the potential value of nursing diagnosis. In the case of Biogen Idec, the company's antibody technology used and in vitro diagnostic reagents can enhance the potential application of synergistic effect.
Ipsen announced it in 2007 and bioMerieux, Celera Diagnostics cooperation of the two:
bioMerieux agreed to use its NucliSENS EasyQ molecular diagnostic testing platform for R & D to help doctors determine patients the effect of BN83495 Ipsen drug candidates. BN83495 breast cancer I was being experimental.
Celera agreed to help develop technology replacement therapy Ipsen drug testing. Celera first determine the classification of genetic markers and development diagnostic prediction. The purpose is to develop nursing diagnosis Ipsen.
Biogen Idec2004 announced Dyax and Epigenomics of two diagnostic cooperation:
Dyax agreed to provide the human antibody library and Biogen Idec to identify therapeutic and diagnostic classification antibody;
? Epigenomics announced that it will use the DNA methylation technology to help Biogen Idec classification potential cancer biomarkers, and to detect patients with drug reactions that can be used as biomarkers for predicted objects. Its purpose is to provide information to help provide basic medical treatment guidance.
deal with the pharmaceutical industry, the most active partners are diagnostic manufacturers a competitive advantage for the nursing diagnosis
series of transactions are limited to diagnostic companies. only 4 a diagnostic company announced in 2004-2008 that at least two years and the cooperation of pharmaceutical companies, and they are all advantages of companies: Celera, Dako, Epigenomics and Perlegen.Dako is one of the largest companies, net sales in 2008 reached 322 million dollars.
this, there are 3 comments:
1. For the diagnosis of companies, the pharmaceutical industry is not a priority market. R & D risk and time to market pharmaceutical-related industries make the diagnosis of a large manufacturer of nursing diagnosis lost interest, and concentrated in a relatively traditional clinical laboratory market.
2. Company Limited deal flow that the company even if the diagnosis of strengths, R & D as expected economic effects of nursing diagnosis is not always attractive. Nursing Diagnosis project is expected to net present value of the key factors, including IPR, pricing and compensation, scope, and extent of testing required by regulators.
3. against those targeting the pharmaceutical industry, diagnostic companies, some are independent of cooperation in research and development pharmaceutical company nursing diagnosis. When diagnostics company has received funding and adequate, high-quality biological samples, this method can guarantee to keep profits within the company.
2004-2008 attracted a half years of cancer care Diagnosis of deal flow
2004-2008, about half of the nursing diagnosis cooperation (45 in 21) is for tumor diagnosis, which consists of three key factors driving:
1. pathology of the disease , the importance of genetic causes;
2. The extent of research in the field;
3. high-priced cancer treatment.
2004-2008 years of nursing diagnosis of different disease areas of cooperation
2004-2008 half of the tumor to attract deal flow
2004-2008 nursing diagnosis, about half of the nursing diagnosis cooperation (45 of 21) was diagnosed for cancer, and this driven by three key factors:
1. pathology of the disease, the importance of genetic causes;
2. The extent of research in the field;
3. high-priced cancer treatment.
2004-2008 in the field of nursing diagnosis of different diseases co < br> Looking
Dako announced in 2009 and the first nursing diagnosis pharmaceutical co. In this transaction, Dako will use it pharmDx line of kits with OSI to develop new cancer drugs test.
We expect the next five years, more and more every year pharmaceutical and diagnostic companies on the diagnosis of co-operation. regulators and consumers need to help the diagnosis of drug use, which will increase the urgency of pharmaceutical companies .
personalized medicine
ten major R & D more personalized medicine, ideas, although not new, but it has not transformed from concept to reality, except a few public examples, such as Herceptin. the completion of the Human Genome Project and advanced tools for molecular medicine advances give us hope. but in a clinical innovation is often required on longer than expected to achieve. In addition to time, the opportunities large events is also critical. do not have such big events and scientific or technology related. recombinant DNA may be today on the progress of the bio-pharmaceutical giant Amgen and Genetech preconditions appear, but some people would say is a key implementer of the Orphan Drug Act of 1983, it is also a small market size indicator When given a valuable indicator of market protection. Many biomarkers market looks relatively small, which may make the diagnosis of the largest companies do not conduct basic research in this area.
overview of personalized medicine that may be important for the big event, we announced early last year a major event from the selected 10:
? EU level the Netherlands, Luxembourg, and the U.S. government fund;
? U.S. and European regulatory proposals;
? consumption testing and clinical testing technology;
? new molecular diagnostics in clinical practice recommendations.
2008 年 1 months of personalized medicine practice
ten major events would tell us, what events in individual the development of medicine is the most important. We offer these ten major events further background.
1. the Dutch government allocated 150 million euros to finance industry and academia in personalized medicine project (April 7, 2008)
Dutch PSV The Centre for Translational Molecular Medicine (CTMM) announced that for cardiovascular disease, cancer, genetic diseases, mental illness and infection field of personalized medicine research project on the 300 million euros fund. the public - individual cooperation projects by the Government of the Netherlands (50%), academic (25%) and industry (25%) funded, are working to improve the clinical treatment of specific diseases and to reduce future government spending in the health sector. All funded projects For the diagnosis must be accelerated to reduce the excessive intervention, fewer side effects and more effective drug use. To achieve these, many CTMM project will focus on the early development of the disease associated with biological markers. All CTMM projects will The Advisory Committee is an independent assessment.
2. Luxembourg government allocated 140 million euros to develop bio-banks, testing and systems biology of lung cancer (June 5, 2008)
Grand Duchy of Luxembourg government announced five years, investments 140 000 000 euros in three personalized medicine projects. a project beyond its original motivation of the health and research to promote Luxembourg's life sciences cluster, to help national economic classification. The program design 3 with a personalized medicine knowledge of American Studies sector participation: Phoenix of the Translational Genomics Research Institute (TGen), Partnership for Personalized Medicine (PPM) and the Seattle Institute for Systems Biology (ISB). three additional projects:
? Luxembourg integrated biological Bank (IBBL) of the establishment;
? Luxembourg Systems Biology Centre (CSBL) establishment;
? to more effective diagnosis and control of diseases, lung cancer biomarkers in the selection and confirmation.
3. EU-funded SMART-BIOMEMS DNA diagnosis equipment development project (December 10, 2008)
Desktop DNA of a new medical diagnostic equipment commercially in 2012. The project is called SMART-BIOMEMS development of equipment, funded by the European Union, concerned about personalized medicine on direct clinical significance. SMART-BIOMEMS diagnosis includes a mobile micro-system to connect personal computers, used in the diagnosis of early disease spectrum. prototype shape in March 2009, was specifically designed to detect and diagnose cancer .
4. United States Government for specific diseases, funding medical treatment comparison (February 16, 2009)
7870 billion economic stimulus includes $ 110 in funding for the disease, the effects of different treatment comparison. of action by a committee of 15 federal employees coordinate regulation, they also President of the United States the distribution of the Fund to make recommendations on the issue. scientific literature review and clinical trials may provide a lot of evidence of treatment effectiveness and value. congressman Peter Stack said that the U.S. spent $ 2,000,000,000,000 per year (GDP of 16%) on health care, but Congress did not specify the use of funds, critics fear it would interfere with doctor-patient relationship. Although details of the project has not yet defined, but the diagnosis plays an important role in the treatment have been instructions. provide a more comprehensive diagnosis of the molecular differences in depth, so that researchers can more accurately assess which therapy on which patients effectively, why it works.
5. American genetic information non-discrimination Act (GINA) signing (May 21, 2008); the European Parliament signed a similar agreement (2008 May 7)
GINA protect individuals, protect them from the health insurance and work, to bring the genetic information may experience discrimination. Similar laws have been effective in 34 states, but the federal level, GINA the first law. GINA through before Congress for 13 years it's discussion to identify personalized medicine to help individuals in the benefit of new technology, without fear of being discriminated against. diagnostic industry in the hope of encouraging the use of clinical trials in the GINA benefit and other research activities. to increase patient education and understanding of the genetic characteristics of the disease is expected to increase patient demand for diagnostic tests. Although a relatively new technology based on genetic and chromosome testing is limited in the United States, but the potential increase in patient requests change. Diagnostic molecular diagnostic company wants Congress to give a favorable position to support the effective personalized medicine. This in turn encourages more research and development. In the May 7, 2008, similar programs in Europe have been used: the European Parliament Committee of Ministers adopted the Convention on Human Rights and the purpose of genetic testing on health care biomedical new additional protocol.
6.Genetech citizens submitted a petition requesting FDA in vitro diagnostic reagents for all treatment decisions to use the same standard test
Genetech Research launched a series of targeted therapies, including Herceptin, Avastin and Tarceva, which requires a number of diagnostic tests to support prescribing decisions. some tests based on different clinical testing and regulatory process. petition submitted at the December 5, FDA requires testing of all in vitro diagnostic reagents test is not FDA regulated. Deadline June 1, 2009, was FDA petition registration Ten Genetech opinion:
? Johns Hopkins University Genetics and Public Policy Center, Fujirebio Diagnostics, and Agendia support;
? Coalition for 21st Century Medicine in two instalments, the American Clinical Laboratory Association (ACLA) and the Association for Molecular Pathology of the opposition;
? Roche's support;
? The Advanced Medical Technology Association (AdvaMed) for the the risk of regulatory 7.FDA consider Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services in the diagnosis of co-operation (December 25, 2008)
from FDA regulation in vitro diagnostic reagents, said the representative of the test suite, FDA will look and Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) cooperative approach, CMS through CLIA Laboratory United States regulatory body tests to identify their products in the regulatory role of gene diagnosis. The comments, in September 2008 by the President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology (PCAST ) published on the new diagnostic tools for major obstacle. We look forward to the discussion of Genetech citizen petition.
8.deCode issue assess the risk of prostate cancer DNA testing method deCode PrCa (2008 年 2 月 20 日)
deCODE announced the release of deCODE PrCa , an increased risk of prostate cancer to determine the genetic changes related to testing methods. The test method standard in the process of CLIA laboratory markers, is designed to detect single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). deCode believe that this test for the improvement and personalized diagnosis and treatment of prostate cancer has important clinical relevance agreement. deCODE also effective tests include type II diabetes, atrial fibrillation, stroke and heart attack.
9. large sample test of the gene guiding warfarin dose test (February 20, 2009)
the optimal dose of medication to prevent blood clots warfarin differ significantly between different patients. one from seven hospitals in Europe included 2700 patients in clinical trials and research groups will be used to detect a genetic profile to determine the patient developed based on the ideal dose method. The international research team has developed a mathematical formula based on genetic information, it seems than the traditional method gives more accurate prediction correct dosage.
10. Netherlands Cancer Institute breast cancer test MammaPrint Agedia health standards (February 4, 2009)
molecular diagnostics company, Agendia, announced that its method of breast cancer tumor recurrence test, MammaPrint, has been The Dutch Institute for Healthcare Improvement (CBO) in 2008 included the updated guidelines. In February 2007, MammaPrint been reported is the FDA in vitro diagnostic reagents in the new multiple index detection (in vitro diagnostic reagents MIA) guidelines for the first cleared in vitro diagnostic test kit . CBO now provided from the Netherlands MammaPrint predictive value of clinical recognition, and its purpose is to determine each patient's risk profile and guide subsequent treatment. MammaPrint is a DNA microarray test, measurement, surgical removal of breast cancer in women of 70 genes expression. The test results in combination with other clinical information and laboratory tests to help doctors plan treatment and follow.
personalized medicine
Case Study Case Study 1 - Translational Genomics Research Institute Translational Genomics
Institute (TGen) is a nonprofit organization dedicated to the development of predictive diagnostics and treatment with precisely. TGen by the Dr. Jeffrey Trent established in 2002.
TGen researchers on the validity of the translation process has contributed to , by studying common and complex genetic component of diseases, including oncology, neurology and metabolic diseases, the progress of the process into a clinical study. eventually, TGen's goal is to increase the medical knowledge of individual genetic variation, and rapid development of diagnosis and treatment for the disease.
this concern started in 2008 with the diagnosis, gene technology, biomarkers identification and commercial activities related to:
? in January 2008, TGen, and a International Working Group announced a blood test indicates the risk of men suffering from prostate cancer study results;
? 2008 年 9 月, TGen investors announced that they have developed a rapid detection method for human genome, the cost for other methods of 1 / 10. This technology can quickly find the genes that may affect changes in human health;
? or in September 2008, a TGen-led international team identified a specific brain protein KIBRA and late onset Alzheimer's disease relationship. The discovery of the translation phase of protein as biological markers to determine disease risk;
? in October 2008, TGen spin-off third company MedTrust Online, to help doctors access patient information, providing them the best treatment.
Case Study 2-Genomic Health Company
Genomic Health to find gene-based molecular diagnostic development and commercialization of improved cancer treatment. Founded in 2000, from the current Executive Chairman Randy Scott in California RedWood City established. the company is committed to development based on genetic characteristics of patients with a more personalized cancer treatment tools.
research and development company focused on identifying those unique identifying specific genes and gene expression of tumor types. These features can help doctors understand tumor-specific treatment is effective, and whether the tumor will recur. Genomic Health clinical cooperative network.
in the first round 4 times before the public offering to raise 0.51 billion dollars, and in 2005 listed Also raised 060 million U.S. dollars.
in January 2004, Genomic Health's CLIA certified clinical laboratory has been to complete the company's first test, Oncotype DX. the same month, the first commercial Oncotype DX-tumor samples test was also analyzed. Oncotype DX in January 2006 by the Medicare company, in November 2006 by the United States largest personal insurance company Aetna, one of the certification on compensation. Now Oncotype DX through contracts, policies and agreements have been covered 90% of the U.S. insurance population. Oncotype DX is recommended in clinical guidance, and included into the standard of care of patients with early breast cancer.
now Oncotype DX has been to help doctors choose the right, there are cost-effective drugs for treatment.
the company is also developing other tumors. In June 2006, the Company and National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project (NSABP) released the results of colon cancer; January 2009, the company announced the Oncotype DX clinically effective in colon cancer.
in co-operation, in January 2008, the company announced that Pfizer R & D cooperation and assess the recurrence of non-metastatic renal cell carcinoma risk of the diagnosis of disease.
Case Study 3-DxS
DxS is a personalized medicine company providing molecular diagnostics to help physicians and pharmaceutical companies based on the patient the drug of choice, especially for lung and colon cancer. company uses its unique real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) technology, Scorpions, as the technology base of products and services.
company is headquartered in Manchester, has 60 employees. the company was founded in 2001 by CEO Dr. Stephen Little and CSO Dr. David Whitcombe established. They are all former employees AstraZeneca Diagnostics Division.
DxS product detection and drug reactions associated with cancer gene mutation, and includes nursing diagnosis of a CE mark program, used in:
? CE mark, including cancer mutation diagnostic products, TheraScreen range of lung and colon cancer to help doctors make more effective prescription treatment. DxS plan released in the next 2 years more in the diagnosis of cancer sets;
? diagnostic reagents, including EGFR, RAS, RAF, BCF-ABL cancer gene mutation and other products.
the cooperation of a large industrial companies DxS help develop its business. Dr Stephen Little said: including:
? pharmaceutical industry: In December 2008, DxS and Amgen signed an agreement to provide the K-Ras Vectibix nursing diagnosis;
? diagnostic industry: In February 2009, DxS authorized DuPont Qualicon a license to use it to develop diagnostic platform Scorpion food industry to use the test.
company also provides genetic analysis services to support drug discovery, tumor variation analysis and DNA extraction services. This business is pharmaceutical and diagnostic industry more and more support.
DxS has chosen a business model for diagnosis, including product development activities from the services business generated cash flow support, and now the product started to have their own profit.
DxS plans to hire more than 20 people, scheduled June 30, 2008 generated £ 3,000,000 before income generated 10 million pounds this time next year.
Case Study 4 - dose of warfarin genetic testing of health economics, science
warfarin
Lin, commonly used anticoagulant for the prevention and control of blood clots, it is difficult to use because a reasonable dose vary widely between patients. If the dose is too strong, increasing the risk of serious bleeding; if the dose is too small, increased risk of stroke .
The Critical Path Institute organized a major pharmaceutical manufacturers in the body, as an independent third party to manage their private data. The findings, presented to the FDA, FDA in September 2007 changed the warfarin label. Now doctors are required to use genetic testing before treatment. This is achieved in the clinical progress of personalized medicine.
Economics
2006 年 11 月, the influential Brookings Institute issued its decision on genetic testing for reasonable warfarin dose, medical savings report. Their conclusion is: ;
However, in April 2008, the largest U.S. insurance company BlueCross-BlueShield announced their conclusion: genetic test can not serve as standards of care.
further study confirmed that the dose of warfarin genetic testing will improve the patient's clinical outcome, but the high cost of the improved method. In January 2009 the international medical research published annual, based on the data model the researchers, show that access to each of the cost of more than 170,000 U.S. dollars. They further calculated only when the high-risk bleeding patients only on the selective use of economic force and therefore can prevent at least 1 / 3 of major bleeding events.
2009 年 5 months, the U.S. Federal Government Medicare health insurance over 65 issued a decision not to pay millions each year patients dose of warfarin genetic test.
but recommended for participation in clinical trials, Medicare patients pay for genetic tests to help doctors continue to study. NIH COAG in 2009 began a period of 3 years of large-scale research will continue to choose warfarin further clinical and economic evidence.
Case Study 5 - today the development of bio-banks
this case based Dr. Robert Hewitt's report, He was designated as the implementation of the Luxembourg banks were integrated bio.
the early history of medical research from the beginning, the collection and analysis of biological samples have been there needs. These samples should be stored appropriately, is conducive to clinical research and patient privacy protection. particularly in the demand for diagnostic tests developed, so that high-quality standardized research as possible.
banking sector in a growing number of biological research collaboration, sharing, and the same sample under the standard, becoming more organized In 1987 in the US Cooperative Human Tissue Network (CHTN) the establishment of an important milestone in the network of biological banks, as well as 1999, the International Society for Biological and Environmental Repositories (ISBER) establishment. ISBER provide clinical and bio-banks from the full name bio-environment and biodiversity banks to capture the full spectrum of services. Its members include the US National Cancer Institute (NCI), Centers for Disease Control (CDC. ..
Thursday, February 24, 2011
Love is so simple
Autumn, as if quietly coming, and then quietly leave, always leave no trace; do not feel, can not slip away quietly from the side to capture every bit of fate; wind, north from the city to a small alley where stuff has, brushed her cheek, not the least bit warm greeting. is the time to be too hasty, or could not grasp it? why everything came so suddenly? Waste Solutions is the injury but had to send rogue pain. Yes ah, life is far more than a rush, and even dare to think you want to do, will become so outrageous in an instant. not all people? women also need to love it! Do women since their arrival in this world should be subject to a man? God, how ridiculous! she was like laughing, but not in the laugh, but cry. She was crying his useless, tolerance, so many years, are hand alone, This is a piece of paper inside to end the marriage between her and him? too sudden! Yes, everything has come so suddenly, how would such a short time she made such bold decision? she felt This broke up the result is that she is not satisfied, after all, between them, and now has no children, and even love, how can the crystallization did not count come to the stage together? Yes ah, this is too blame themselves smart too naive, for marriage, how can it as a trifling matter? such a painful and decisive ending, so who would think of know each other for some time, have a common language and share a close rapport, you can very well together; and good dispersion it is not so easy, fast together, not to loose too fast, because, after all, is not machines that can be stopped to stop, it has its own thoughts and feelings ah! the face of such a conclusion, who do not feel it sigh it? is to blame herself, and had good family Because the divorce themselves. husband has been trying to restore, but she is saying into the oil and salt for this, no matter how her husband insisted she is determined to persuade him away. what exactly is the reason, even she herself said, unclear.
autumn cool with a trace of wind chill, blowing cold on the body without the slightest sense. may have been numb, body covered with endless years of dirty, how can people feel a little comfort? tired Everything was very tired over the years, living in the hustle and bustle of the city, may have never thought that one day out of the city, in the other side to experience the natural quiet over the pages. is too busy to work it? Perhaps, like the endless pressure of a huge stone on her breast, how to make her a good mouth breathe air? maybe someday there will be stifled in the city too! can be desperate for love to pursue, in the this world, there is no force that can beat that. She this is a gentle, vulnerable women, even in just a bride soon, do not drop the character. perhaps her habits and character caused by the , the human era, such a woman like her, it seems increasingly see less fortune, perhaps to a certain period of one day, she can be handed down in this world is a valuable human model of it. but gentle, vulnerable women are often is easy to get hurt, she does not know why he would choose such a character, maybe that is your fate, God destined her to be a vulnerable woman, what can she do?
the bustling downtown through the bright neon lights, everything looked so bleak, Rong bridge standing at one end, the body behind the bridge railing close to the heart not the slightest trace of a dull pain of the injury. She did not think all this is so fast, as put it in front of her husband uttered the mouth several times, insisting on a divorce after they have like a bird out of the cage, as can be free. but this time she has not had the joy of the, and her husband So farewell, and his way after how to get a specific arrangement has not it! me hastily broke up with him, is not too unfeeling! she and her out of the hall just thought that husband, who with her husband of three years of life are now suffering the way. He must be in my heart blame her: leave me where I have not done well? I do have to accommodate you, after you, I thought I had just so you can tear life to keep till the end, but why did you do such thing unsympathetic ! time earlier than her, for he got home from work every night to hand the kitchen cooking. She is happy enough, but why should she to break it? do not know, really even her own do not know. the last month, she is like a changed man, every time a home is an unhappy face, I do not know anything for her husband so that she was not happy, and never ask her, but quietly to doing housework.
Rong is increasingly frown upon this house, she felt any thing this family is not pleasing to the eye, often for little things and started yelling at him. husband was a generous man for her vexatious never mind, a lot of cool down time is nothing more for her elimination. Who knows, she is insatiable, her husband will not allow also call him a coward, than pigs and dogs, from getting married to now, all the family have not changed much, and the other men a ratio, just her face disgrace!
Rong do not know what causes it in the end, can a woman once married to go through this mental process of a metamorphosis it? Sometimes she was thinking, Are they really that cross between the more light it? she believe in fate, and fate. Maybe that is believed he had chosen this, however, God gave her away now a deadly joke. husband's company has been a recent downturn in efficiency, but also just for the leadership, the new manager and his character is very congenial, very satisfied with his performance, so he racked their thoughts into the accountant, this is a fatal blow to him, but at this time Rong has added insult to injury, he kept in front of a neighbor's face that he is useless, and everything so that we can and do a few years out of the Company Secretary not only failed to What the results now but down the job, just so she could not see anyone! husband still is a good husband, everything is still as frightening as her swear. But Chengdu has not weakened the potential not only to pick her husband's thorn often made and his decision to divorce. For a time her husband atmosphere, he could bear, so three months as anger erupted like volcano out: you, what great, from the to leave, more afraid ah! as if the husband suddenly become another person, make her difficult to accept. So she filed for divorce decisively.
to marriage between the smoke so they went to extremes at once. Rong carried away and watched the distance light lost, confused eyes one. It turned out to love and not love it in this paper in words. She looked at the hands of the characters goes just a signed divorce agreement. suddenly was blank. They are so remote and strange, since then, he will no longer be spent with her. She was a person to re-live their own. work, work, go home. face will be a temporary new world. think of it, she suddenly felt some regret, why so early and he proposed a divorce? their time with him, nor is unhappy it? This can not blame yourself. three years, she never seriously as gentle as his wife treat him once. Though she once had a rare kind of world share of all women gentle and fragile, but that was before, perhaps when he spotted her reason was that point. However, the kind of marriage, the husband's thoughtfulness and care in the next life, so her character up to become fragile and tough. She is no longer the kind of gentle and vulnerable before, so, life has been dull husband and wife wrapped around the house.
Perhaps, such a leave, of her future life, but it is a choice. She thought of her in the near future, we can find a good husband, a young and promising. to that time, she doubled the better glory. Rong is a very contemporary woman. for marriage and family, never feeling just to read, and with him may not have a trace of love. but she still occasionally think of him, Bijing he is the husband of his bed three-set ah. they do not love the crystal. This is not no, but she does not want to, she had insisted to him said, five years before marriage, She did not want children. He respected her choice. Just because everything according to her he will only let her become so presumptuous. He is indeed a very good husband, with all the features of all men the world, not only people was tall and doing things no less than others; (but that would have been such a husband, wife despise?) he great degree, in his divorce agreement, including all the inside of the house without reservation all give her. He always loved her, he would like to use it all in exchange for action to be final, but in the end she brought to the court. So he had to tone the most calm and said to her: bar wrote his name at. He knew it all too late, there is no regret, the two quickly left the court building. In their moment of farewell, he suddenly had an emotional, two people mutual silence. finally he broke the Xinjiang Bureau with a smile.
> His words seemed to be a tough out come from the throat. He choked back to maintain such a sad face, bright eyes flashing with tears. Rong is still without saying anything, she seemed to be this sudden deeply moved by the scene, everything has been
late, no matter how well has become the past. a unbearable suffering to promote her eyes filled with tears. She never cried in front of him, the previous time unless it is too big a blow by, but now be considered a blow to it? She did not dare look at him as if they, like the scene when the first plane. Then she felt a sudden, this is a dating start, where divorces What is it?>
hey, I knew the pain of divorce is not so so in mind. But everything is too late. She watched in silence the two feet on the ground, a pair of his, a pair of their own. she seemed to think of something, but do not know where to think, while he stood waiting for her answer, he knew, though her divorce, but he believes she is still loved him , otherwise she would not let it linger own. He already understand this when she was taken the door, they will never together. he knew, all night, so he chose silence, want to get back in silence, save a little room.
a long time, he said to her: to have replied: hit so big, maybe this is a little repent.
she was waiting for his answer, he seemed awkward, or too sad, too sad, he can not make accurate judgments, the matter have been to the point where the. What we can not say it? Yes, he too loved her, he hands her as a jewel, for fear of being taken away. He carefully nurtured her, and fear of her falling to the ground smashed the last three years, he will save her is so perfect, did not let her be a little bit hurt. but now she has wings like a long, silent moment in the palm disappears, so he good-naturedly said in several carrot box after the words persuade when the economy was still no, he had uttered words of such a simple and straightforward.
The reduced End of the World own wife disappeared in the hazy darkness of night, feeling a certain emptiness. I lost? he was pondering.
lonely single life has finally made her feel bored and empty. from work to work, she can no longer work in addition to do not find any thing, the kitchen is not cleaned for a long time, those dishes are not washed for a long time to rot while the bubble. The first is psychological emptiness, often a person she will always remember the time at home nothing. He did not take their things in common, including the diary, what's all the wedding photos are placed according to the original style in her room, she was often bored look at those old photos, but also gradually to produce some of his memories. she is really sorry you made the choice of divorce, she regretted that it was too late, so she could use her own words to write all this in his diary, which has been psychological emptiness be eased, but the ensuing sleep, but made her unable to live so that she was always late at work, my colleagues do not know what happened to her in the end, she never will not, a private matter public. neighbor recently seen very little of her husband home, often very concerned and asked her: politely smile: However, the paper is smoke there's fire, and then the wall would take the air tight. She is very aware of this truth, in fact, people know it does not matter, now divorced woman is not an uncommon occurrence.
But she was lonely ah, to know that a divorced woman, is how much we need another man to touch her heart sinking heart pain ah. a period of time after the divorce, she had enough of the solitary life of a person. That What kind of life ah, no man, one jealously guarding its availability, the lack of the kind of warmth before marriage, no man to cook her, hugging her to sleep life, made her deeply appreciate, not men day, what a sad, especially at night, when she got into bed when a man, she will always feel like something is missing, the quilt is so cold, even though it was snowing outside, electric blankets are also open to the hottest file , but she still felt cold. is really cold? she could not say, then it is cold on the mind? she did not dare to imagine, but every time this time, she will at the ceiling a daze. in order to meet sleep at night, she learned to count, almost every night she would count from 1 to 500, and sometimes the number to 1000. Sometimes, she wanted to give him a call and tell him that we again and well, But he can receive it? Maybe he now has a new partner, she not bear to go to break the lives of others. she kind of contradiction, until he later met another.
and his The story begins in a spring evening. That day, the company just a holiday, she went to the Toyama restaurant. do not know when she began to live the kind of luxury to the dissolute life, perhaps all this is coming from her more than six months caused by loneliness and tough it. In the past, she never came to this place, over the sad and boring single life so that she fell in love thirst alcohol and smoking. That night she is a person sitting in a chair bored to smoking, her thick smoke,
like floating in the mist of a lotus. In fact, she is very beautiful, that beauty is never out of date, because they can not take her to beauty sets the standards of any era, like the thin ring of fat Yan and so on, all focusing on form. She is a Chinese ink painting, only the ink on rice paper thin, slightly up but after the ink rendering, it was with light ink light Jiaoren glance, everywhere around the blank, but appeals to the imagination, pure and clear and bright white place, quiet introverted; dark place for a splash of a dye, style infiltrated the muscle in rice paper, will be God Flaming penetrating . Rong this beauty in her age do not have any change, even though she is divorced, but not how to look like a woman aged 28 has a pale, but seemed to have a just the boudoir of the woman. beautiful skin and not because of her looking aged and lonely, but only slightly a little rough. so since, in this occasion she was not a lonely woman, has become a concept note among all the beautiful children, but her heart has always wipe it away before the scars of that wire, it Bijing is a blot on her marriage, but now she had not think about it.
wine to thirsty men and restaurants much, but all have a sink mature, stable men gas, Chengdu is the only choice this fancy here, she has been waiting for someone here, waiting for his appearance, apparently as she has an absolute capital of women, one came to this place will be subject to a number of men in the concept note, and she is not waiting for appreciation of these often point to treat her as a man, she really needs is a thoughtful understanding of her man because she was too need this man. High blood red French wine goblet in her hand in the swirls, when she slowly inhaled it in the mouth when she felt like the cup of life wine, drink every time there is a taste of his mouth are not. She took a deep breath of smoke, long eyelashes, thick smoke across, revealing a single woman fox sad heart and pain. This more than six months Even she did not know how come, it just spit out like smoke, always floating variable.
A man wearing a blue suit came to her side, it is obviously intended to and she knew about.
to her side, followed by two people clink drink, Rong all this without the slightest care. , but he is very able to cleverly avoid this tension. In the eyes of the man like Chengdu familiar, it is not, and he said, she came here several times to drink, have met him. she also think this is a blessing, why every time will be here to see him? Is this the one who let her wait for a man? not down to her, and that there is no evidence of the fact that she is never to conduct in-depth study, for she was waiting for the answer to this mature man. At last he spoke: will be mentioned in the question, Fate really like both of them to meet him. He told her name is Zhang, is pleased to know a woman like her, she said also.
heart that night she will soon, perhaps from a divorce she the fastest since a heart, and she does not have any sense of oppression, as if for a time back in the love life of five years ago. She Patent v. she is a married woman, and has just recently divorced. His face appeared to be very stable , but the inside has provoked a trace of surprise, he's no matter how to see, do not regard this woman in front of an already married woman with the associate. but he always believe her, that night, they talked about for a long time, and before leaving, he took her home, she did not refuse, drowsily to get into his car. warm air tightly wrapped in her body, she felt a little nervous, she The man looked around, there is a sudden feeling that I was looking for this man? Why is so fast! she did not venture down to, since she and her husband after the divorce, she thought about a lot of the shadow of a man, she thought if the right to be able to find a man may be able to live their later life happy, and so many days, she agreed to find her looking forward to his presence. Although people do not pursue her less, but she did not seductive, only the Zhang to clink from the moment her since she was a landed there, as if finally blown autumn leaves in the plot of their own static soil. ----- Mr. Chang for his, her heart already has his shadow: the thirties, an honest, intelligent, prudent man, had seen once in a restaurant also, but did not spoken to him . But from that moment it occurred to her a little change of heart, she felt every word he said is true. So this change in her heart has been changing, now she really sure that this in mind place in the hearts of men when his date, so there an inner impulse to make her feel like the man is to find the person you want. For Zhang, this is not actually imagine Rong Zhang, He real name is Xu Wenkai, others call him idiot, he is only twenty-seven years old, and ink quiet Rong The difference is that the Celtics are a thick and black the oil paintings, canvas shop in the thick white cardboard , black and white, colored oil wiped over and over again, every corner of the spare, bright screen, is the place to be red mouth is the place to be black eyes, really makes people see through.
car in the downtown city in the shuttle, the Celtics asked about her address, less than five minutes, it is skillfully parked her downstairs. She wanted him to sit upstairs for a while, but the room is too chaos, these days she did not come back too; say half of a turn, come as a surprise, and have the opportunity or the next time, so she pushed the car under the door, stuck his head out the Celtics in the car to do a very deep expression . handbag handed out his business card in his hand, the Celtics received Rong card, she has disappeared in the corridor, so he did a very non-lazy expression, and turned the key on the engine.
night, she felt very nervous, no more than six months and a strange man alone for so long, but also so happy that her mind has been echoed his shadow. So with her, people will love her ? Although she could see that Mr. Chang has a special on her feeling, but she needs it! married woman should know, is badly in need of mature love. She did not want to go back to first love, so She decided in the absence of a thorough understanding of the specific circumstances of each other, select the proactive approach.
back to the house, she saw the large and quiet bedrooms there is a fierce suddenly felt something haunted her. few days ago, the same kind of thing as the devil never left her half a step, the first time just a trace of pain, but the longer, more pain in her heart, until now, that haunt the mood of her six months as the eruption of flames, burning large areas of her body. She felt so tired, but this tired at the end of another hidden what she was about to pick up the table mirror, ready to look at their own small Aberdeen recently change, at this moment the telephone rang. She has been like a hundred per cent in the mind to grasp that the phone must be his calling, so she too busy thinking to pick up emotion, but she also felt Court acts like a newly hatched young girls, this set of movements and somewhat childish, so pick the handset of the moment she changed the idea of speaking in advance. handset close to her side, she is hard to listen to a mature men's voices, but the other end of the phone but only gently breathing, and she's feeling right, the wild with a steady and mature in breathing is from the mouth of Mr. Chang, but she had no idea that he how this silence is to be her? not imagine that she is, no matter how long she was then time to pondering Xia Xiang, are the result can not think of any, so she had to say: Why not say that? outside the building suddenly pulled him from his own side, just like she and the restaurant where he was the same in Toyama. He will stay in the blink of an eye shadow of her mind, like two people talking face to face, in some , there is always some silence or awkward situation of appears. her moment of this moment, that is just the time to meet, so she gave him a little in return, is still a slight smile. This way, the distance two people closer, and he was silent for a long time, said: : He said: Let me find a pen. Enliaoyisheng end said he was still gentle attention of her answer. she fully understood what he meant, made a clever answer: hear the voice I hear this: did not think he would be so decisively to end this conversation. how can she sleep? My God, these days he does not know how she alone insomnia to dawn!
have the first meeting, there will be a second, third, gradually become familiar between them for a meeting that is no longer choose the original restaurant. She slowly approached him, but she never He sent that kind of meaning, because she understand that love is the other side to say. So she was always waiting for someday, she could hear thick oil paintings, Ming and bright, is the place to be red mouth is the place to be black eyes, this love is not to be decorated in any color. She thought, he also has a nice home, a beautiful and gentle wife, but he does not care about all this. and he cares about her? she was a divorced woman, after all, it? he can, like her husband, as his former love her? she do not know, this is she has been annoyed problems. She also spent a lot of time to think about this issue, but she does not think this is important, it is important in the end how much he loved her. If he is really in love with her, then how would one ever leave married women have some awareness of the barriers it? course, which she is right, and he is not married or unmarried is the kind of care about the kind of man. In fact, in his heart, has long put her In a heavy status. He knew that when they first met that night, he had fallen in love with her. Before that, he, like her, often in the restaurant in to see her. At first, he just in a public eye, watched the fall in the wine and the cigarettes inside the woman, she remains not figure out why the women like her who will always come to this place a pastime, but can not think why she would divorce, so it would be for She created a sympathetic, and when he slowly approach her, he would gradually feel that this is a very special woman. He knew she had a strong side of debauchery, in the saw from her heart The other side of her soft vulnerable. then first met, he would no longer have sympathy for this woman, but to convert it into a love. He often took her and his wife to do a comparison, perhaps men have a grass is always greener feeling every time he went home, feeling a lot of the old wife, although his wife kept busy at home, never quarrel with him, but also as usual, according to him, but he always felt that she body such as the lack of something, so he had official business by the unit, often got home late. He will sometimes produce a contradiction, to face her and his wife and young son who just turned six months old He in the end choose who? her colleagues as often to his house to play, his wife received her very friendly, he spoke to her in the living room while his wife was busy in the kitchen with enthusiasm. When occasionally the two personally met with, he really was confused by hh usual he is very busy, indeed, the tax on many things, she knew, so she was never in the daytime not bother him. She herself busy in the night, she drove to pick him up, there are a lot of time, under his late work, she is downstairs so, until he came out.
chat with them, walking, late night, playing dominoes. She told him the sea some of the competition, she said: some harsh realities. He told her that some of their upper class bureaucrats busy and loss of life. They come from two completely different worlds, their lives, completely different social circle, a marriage to be like them pull in the together in front of each other, opened a new window. She told the history of his previous marriage, she said she talked to three years in love, married three times, the husband of her good, but still away, they did not child, not her incompetence. is she did not want. She told him frankly that, he, too, every word said to her, he very clearly in mind. He took her as a flower, is A white jade flower, the above without any blemish, he carefully, admiring it, and slowly that it took place in the faint trace of perfume is a very special taste, is his wife so many years in his The body can not feel the taste of another woman, and he gradually tend to her side. but is accompanied by his wife's indifference, and bickering. He felt like an empty white marriage, the longer it put too , the more yellow, wait until the dying of the day, the paper will turn black, so its better to back into one, let him yellow longer, so there is not the end of life As to fare well. This way, he greatly increased the love for her.
one week is not, the boss invited them to the Secretary to the ...
autumn cool with a trace of wind chill, blowing cold on the body without the slightest sense. may have been numb, body covered with endless years of dirty, how can people feel a little comfort? tired Everything was very tired over the years, living in the hustle and bustle of the city, may have never thought that one day out of the city, in the other side to experience the natural quiet over the pages. is too busy to work it? Perhaps, like the endless pressure of a huge stone on her breast, how to make her a good mouth breathe air? maybe someday there will be stifled in the city too! can be desperate for love to pursue, in the this world, there is no force that can beat that. She this is a gentle, vulnerable women, even in just a bride soon, do not drop the character. perhaps her habits and character caused by the , the human era, such a woman like her, it seems increasingly see less fortune, perhaps to a certain period of one day, she can be handed down in this world is a valuable human model of it. but gentle, vulnerable women are often is easy to get hurt, she does not know why he would choose such a character, maybe that is your fate, God destined her to be a vulnerable woman, what can she do?
the bustling downtown through the bright neon lights, everything looked so bleak, Rong bridge standing at one end, the body behind the bridge railing close to the heart not the slightest trace of a dull pain of the injury. She did not think all this is so fast, as put it in front of her husband uttered the mouth several times, insisting on a divorce after they have like a bird out of the cage, as can be free. but this time she has not had the joy of the, and her husband So farewell, and his way after how to get a specific arrangement has not it! me hastily broke up with him, is not too unfeeling! she and her out of the hall just thought that husband, who with her husband of three years of life are now suffering the way. He must be in my heart blame her: leave me where I have not done well? I do have to accommodate you, after you, I thought I had just so you can tear life to keep till the end, but why did you do such thing unsympathetic ! time earlier than her, for he got home from work every night to hand the kitchen cooking. She is happy enough, but why should she to break it? do not know, really even her own do not know. the last month, she is like a changed man, every time a home is an unhappy face, I do not know anything for her husband so that she was not happy, and never ask her, but quietly to doing housework.
Rong is increasingly frown upon this house, she felt any thing this family is not pleasing to the eye, often for little things and started yelling at him. husband was a generous man for her vexatious never mind, a lot of cool down time is nothing more for her elimination. Who knows, she is insatiable, her husband will not allow also call him a coward, than pigs and dogs, from getting married to now, all the family have not changed much, and the other men a ratio, just her face disgrace!
Rong do not know what causes it in the end, can a woman once married to go through this mental process of a metamorphosis it? Sometimes she was thinking, Are they really that cross between the more light it? she believe in fate, and fate. Maybe that is believed he had chosen this, however, God gave her away now a deadly joke. husband's company has been a recent downturn in efficiency, but also just for the leadership, the new manager and his character is very congenial, very satisfied with his performance, so he racked their thoughts into the accountant, this is a fatal blow to him, but at this time Rong has added insult to injury, he kept in front of a neighbor's face that he is useless, and everything so that we can and do a few years out of the Company Secretary not only failed to What the results now but down the job, just so she could not see anyone! husband still is a good husband, everything is still as frightening as her swear. But Chengdu has not weakened the potential not only to pick her husband's thorn often made and his decision to divorce. For a time her husband atmosphere, he could bear, so three months as anger erupted like volcano out: you, what great, from the to leave, more afraid ah! as if the husband suddenly become another person, make her difficult to accept. So she filed for divorce decisively.
to marriage between the smoke so they went to extremes at once. Rong carried away and watched the distance light lost, confused eyes one. It turned out to love and not love it in this paper in words. She looked at the hands of the characters goes just a signed divorce agreement. suddenly was blank. They are so remote and strange, since then, he will no longer be spent with her. She was a person to re-live their own. work, work, go home. face will be a temporary new world. think of it, she suddenly felt some regret, why so early and he proposed a divorce? their time with him, nor is unhappy it? This can not blame yourself. three years, she never seriously as gentle as his wife treat him once. Though she once had a rare kind of world share of all women gentle and fragile, but that was before, perhaps when he spotted her reason was that point. However, the kind of marriage, the husband's thoughtfulness and care in the next life, so her character up to become fragile and tough. She is no longer the kind of gentle and vulnerable before, so, life has been dull husband and wife wrapped around the house.
Perhaps, such a leave, of her future life, but it is a choice. She thought of her in the near future, we can find a good husband, a young and promising. to that time, she doubled the better glory. Rong is a very contemporary woman. for marriage and family, never feeling just to read, and with him may not have a trace of love. but she still occasionally think of him, Bijing he is the husband of his bed three-set ah. they do not love the crystal. This is not no, but she does not want to, she had insisted to him said, five years before marriage, She did not want children. He respected her choice. Just because everything according to her he will only let her become so presumptuous. He is indeed a very good husband, with all the features of all men the world, not only people was tall and doing things no less than others; (but that would have been such a husband, wife despise?) he great degree, in his divorce agreement, including all the inside of the house without reservation all give her. He always loved her, he would like to use it all in exchange for action to be final, but in the end she brought to the court. So he had to tone the most calm and said to her: bar wrote his name at. He knew it all too late, there is no regret, the two quickly left the court building. In their moment of farewell, he suddenly had an emotional, two people mutual silence. finally he broke the Xinjiang Bureau with a smile.
> His words seemed to be a tough out come from the throat. He choked back to maintain such a sad face, bright eyes flashing with tears. Rong is still without saying anything, she seemed to be this sudden deeply moved by the scene, everything has been
late, no matter how well has become the past. a unbearable suffering to promote her eyes filled with tears. She never cried in front of him, the previous time unless it is too big a blow by, but now be considered a blow to it? She did not dare look at him as if they, like the scene when the first plane. Then she felt a sudden, this is a dating start, where divorces What is it?>
hey, I knew the pain of divorce is not so so in mind. But everything is too late. She watched in silence the two feet on the ground, a pair of his, a pair of their own. she seemed to think of something, but do not know where to think, while he stood waiting for her answer, he knew, though her divorce, but he believes she is still loved him , otherwise she would not let it linger own. He already understand this when she was taken the door, they will never together. he knew, all night, so he chose silence, want to get back in silence, save a little room.
a long time, he said to her: to have replied: hit so big, maybe this is a little repent.
she was waiting for his answer, he seemed awkward, or too sad, too sad, he can not make accurate judgments, the matter have been to the point where the. What we can not say it? Yes, he too loved her, he hands her as a jewel, for fear of being taken away. He carefully nurtured her, and fear of her falling to the ground smashed the last three years, he will save her is so perfect, did not let her be a little bit hurt. but now she has wings like a long, silent moment in the palm disappears, so he good-naturedly said in several carrot box after the words persuade when the economy was still no, he had uttered words of such a simple and straightforward.
The reduced End of the World own wife disappeared in the hazy darkness of night, feeling a certain emptiness. I lost? he was pondering.
lonely single life has finally made her feel bored and empty. from work to work, she can no longer work in addition to do not find any thing, the kitchen is not cleaned for a long time, those dishes are not washed for a long time to rot while the bubble. The first is psychological emptiness, often a person she will always remember the time at home nothing. He did not take their things in common, including the diary, what's all the wedding photos are placed according to the original style in her room, she was often bored look at those old photos, but also gradually to produce some of his memories. she is really sorry you made the choice of divorce, she regretted that it was too late, so she could use her own words to write all this in his diary, which has been psychological emptiness be eased, but the ensuing sleep, but made her unable to live so that she was always late at work, my colleagues do not know what happened to her in the end, she never will not, a private matter public. neighbor recently seen very little of her husband home, often very concerned and asked her: politely smile: However, the paper is smoke there's fire, and then the wall would take the air tight. She is very aware of this truth, in fact, people know it does not matter, now divorced woman is not an uncommon occurrence.
But she was lonely ah, to know that a divorced woman, is how much we need another man to touch her heart sinking heart pain ah. a period of time after the divorce, she had enough of the solitary life of a person. That What kind of life ah, no man, one jealously guarding its availability, the lack of the kind of warmth before marriage, no man to cook her, hugging her to sleep life, made her deeply appreciate, not men day, what a sad, especially at night, when she got into bed when a man, she will always feel like something is missing, the quilt is so cold, even though it was snowing outside, electric blankets are also open to the hottest file , but she still felt cold. is really cold? she could not say, then it is cold on the mind? she did not dare to imagine, but every time this time, she will at the ceiling a daze. in order to meet sleep at night, she learned to count, almost every night she would count from 1 to 500, and sometimes the number to 1000. Sometimes, she wanted to give him a call and tell him that we again and well, But he can receive it? Maybe he now has a new partner, she not bear to go to break the lives of others. she kind of contradiction, until he later met another.
and his The story begins in a spring evening. That day, the company just a holiday, she went to the Toyama restaurant. do not know when she began to live the kind of luxury to the dissolute life, perhaps all this is coming from her more than six months caused by loneliness and tough it. In the past, she never came to this place, over the sad and boring single life so that she fell in love thirst alcohol and smoking. That night she is a person sitting in a chair bored to smoking, her thick smoke,
like floating in the mist of a lotus. In fact, she is very beautiful, that beauty is never out of date, because they can not take her to beauty sets the standards of any era, like the thin ring of fat Yan and so on, all focusing on form. She is a Chinese ink painting, only the ink on rice paper thin, slightly up but after the ink rendering, it was with light ink light Jiaoren glance, everywhere around the blank, but appeals to the imagination, pure and clear and bright white place, quiet introverted; dark place for a splash of a dye, style infiltrated the muscle in rice paper, will be God Flaming penetrating . Rong this beauty in her age do not have any change, even though she is divorced, but not how to look like a woman aged 28 has a pale, but seemed to have a just the boudoir of the woman. beautiful skin and not because of her looking aged and lonely, but only slightly a little rough. so since, in this occasion she was not a lonely woman, has become a concept note among all the beautiful children, but her heart has always wipe it away before the scars of that wire, it Bijing is a blot on her marriage, but now she had not think about it.
wine to thirsty men and restaurants much, but all have a sink mature, stable men gas, Chengdu is the only choice this fancy here, she has been waiting for someone here, waiting for his appearance, apparently as she has an absolute capital of women, one came to this place will be subject to a number of men in the concept note, and she is not waiting for appreciation of these often point to treat her as a man, she really needs is a thoughtful understanding of her man because she was too need this man. High blood red French wine goblet in her hand in the swirls, when she slowly inhaled it in the mouth when she felt like the cup of life wine, drink every time there is a taste of his mouth are not. She took a deep breath of smoke, long eyelashes, thick smoke across, revealing a single woman fox sad heart and pain. This more than six months Even she did not know how come, it just spit out like smoke, always floating variable.
A man wearing a blue suit came to her side, it is obviously intended to and she knew about.
to her side, followed by two people clink drink, Rong all this without the slightest care. , but he is very able to cleverly avoid this tension. In the eyes of the man like Chengdu familiar, it is not, and he said, she came here several times to drink, have met him. she also think this is a blessing, why every time will be here to see him? Is this the one who let her wait for a man? not down to her, and that there is no evidence of the fact that she is never to conduct in-depth study, for she was waiting for the answer to this mature man. At last he spoke: will be mentioned in the question, Fate really like both of them to meet him. He told her name is Zhang, is pleased to know a woman like her, she said also.
heart that night she will soon, perhaps from a divorce she the fastest since a heart, and she does not have any sense of oppression, as if for a time back in the love life of five years ago. She Patent v. she is a married woman, and has just recently divorced. His face appeared to be very stable , but the inside has provoked a trace of surprise, he's no matter how to see, do not regard this woman in front of an already married woman with the associate. but he always believe her, that night, they talked about for a long time, and before leaving, he took her home, she did not refuse, drowsily to get into his car. warm air tightly wrapped in her body, she felt a little nervous, she The man looked around, there is a sudden feeling that I was looking for this man? Why is so fast! she did not venture down to, since she and her husband after the divorce, she thought about a lot of the shadow of a man, she thought if the right to be able to find a man may be able to live their later life happy, and so many days, she agreed to find her looking forward to his presence. Although people do not pursue her less, but she did not seductive, only the Zhang to clink from the moment her since she was a landed there, as if finally blown autumn leaves in the plot of their own static soil. ----- Mr. Chang for his, her heart already has his shadow: the thirties, an honest, intelligent, prudent man, had seen once in a restaurant also, but did not spoken to him . But from that moment it occurred to her a little change of heart, she felt every word he said is true. So this change in her heart has been changing, now she really sure that this in mind place in the hearts of men when his date, so there an inner impulse to make her feel like the man is to find the person you want. For Zhang, this is not actually imagine Rong Zhang, He real name is Xu Wenkai, others call him idiot, he is only twenty-seven years old, and ink quiet Rong The difference is that the Celtics are a thick and black the oil paintings, canvas shop in the thick white cardboard , black and white, colored oil wiped over and over again, every corner of the spare, bright screen, is the place to be red mouth is the place to be black eyes, really makes people see through.
car in the downtown city in the shuttle, the Celtics asked about her address, less than five minutes, it is skillfully parked her downstairs. She wanted him to sit upstairs for a while, but the room is too chaos, these days she did not come back too; say half of a turn, come as a surprise, and have the opportunity or the next time, so she pushed the car under the door, stuck his head out the Celtics in the car to do a very deep expression . handbag handed out his business card in his hand, the Celtics received Rong card, she has disappeared in the corridor, so he did a very non-lazy expression, and turned the key on the engine.
night, she felt very nervous, no more than six months and a strange man alone for so long, but also so happy that her mind has been echoed his shadow. So with her, people will love her ? Although she could see that Mr. Chang has a special on her feeling, but she needs it! married woman should know, is badly in need of mature love. She did not want to go back to first love, so She decided in the absence of a thorough understanding of the specific circumstances of each other, select the proactive approach.
back to the house, she saw the large and quiet bedrooms there is a fierce suddenly felt something haunted her. few days ago, the same kind of thing as the devil never left her half a step, the first time just a trace of pain, but the longer, more pain in her heart, until now, that haunt the mood of her six months as the eruption of flames, burning large areas of her body. She felt so tired, but this tired at the end of another hidden what she was about to pick up the table mirror, ready to look at their own small Aberdeen recently change, at this moment the telephone rang. She has been like a hundred per cent in the mind to grasp that the phone must be his calling, so she too busy thinking to pick up emotion, but she also felt Court acts like a newly hatched young girls, this set of movements and somewhat childish, so pick the handset of the moment she changed the idea of speaking in advance. handset close to her side, she is hard to listen to a mature men's voices, but the other end of the phone but only gently breathing, and she's feeling right, the wild with a steady and mature in breathing is from the mouth of Mr. Chang, but she had no idea that he how this silence is to be her? not imagine that she is, no matter how long she was then time to pondering Xia Xiang, are the result can not think of any, so she had to say: Why not say that? outside the building suddenly pulled him from his own side, just like she and the restaurant where he was the same in Toyama. He will stay in the blink of an eye shadow of her mind, like two people talking face to face, in some , there is always some silence or awkward situation of appears. her moment of this moment, that is just the time to meet, so she gave him a little in return, is still a slight smile. This way, the distance two people closer, and he was silent for a long time, said: : He said: Let me find a pen. Enliaoyisheng end said he was still gentle attention of her answer. she fully understood what he meant, made a clever answer: hear the voice I hear this: did not think he would be so decisively to end this conversation. how can she sleep? My God, these days he does not know how she alone insomnia to dawn!
have the first meeting, there will be a second, third, gradually become familiar between them for a meeting that is no longer choose the original restaurant. She slowly approached him, but she never He sent that kind of meaning, because she understand that love is the other side to say. So she was always waiting for someday, she could hear thick oil paintings, Ming and bright, is the place to be red mouth is the place to be black eyes, this love is not to be decorated in any color. She thought, he also has a nice home, a beautiful and gentle wife, but he does not care about all this. and he cares about her? she was a divorced woman, after all, it? he can, like her husband, as his former love her? she do not know, this is she has been annoyed problems. She also spent a lot of time to think about this issue, but she does not think this is important, it is important in the end how much he loved her. If he is really in love with her, then how would one ever leave married women have some awareness of the barriers it? course, which she is right, and he is not married or unmarried is the kind of care about the kind of man. In fact, in his heart, has long put her In a heavy status. He knew that when they first met that night, he had fallen in love with her. Before that, he, like her, often in the restaurant in to see her. At first, he just in a public eye, watched the fall in the wine and the cigarettes inside the woman, she remains not figure out why the women like her who will always come to this place a pastime, but can not think why she would divorce, so it would be for She created a sympathetic, and when he slowly approach her, he would gradually feel that this is a very special woman. He knew she had a strong side of debauchery, in the saw from her heart The other side of her soft vulnerable. then first met, he would no longer have sympathy for this woman, but to convert it into a love. He often took her and his wife to do a comparison, perhaps men have a grass is always greener feeling every time he went home, feeling a lot of the old wife, although his wife kept busy at home, never quarrel with him, but also as usual, according to him, but he always felt that she body such as the lack of something, so he had official business by the unit, often got home late. He will sometimes produce a contradiction, to face her and his wife and young son who just turned six months old He in the end choose who? her colleagues as often to his house to play, his wife received her very friendly, he spoke to her in the living room while his wife was busy in the kitchen with enthusiasm. When occasionally the two personally met with, he really was confused by hh usual he is very busy, indeed, the tax on many things, she knew, so she was never in the daytime not bother him. She herself busy in the night, she drove to pick him up, there are a lot of time, under his late work, she is downstairs so, until he came out.
chat with them, walking, late night, playing dominoes. She told him the sea some of the competition, she said: some harsh realities. He told her that some of their upper class bureaucrats busy and loss of life. They come from two completely different worlds, their lives, completely different social circle, a marriage to be like them pull in the together in front of each other, opened a new window. She told the history of his previous marriage, she said she talked to three years in love, married three times, the husband of her good, but still away, they did not child, not her incompetence. is she did not want. She told him frankly that, he, too, every word said to her, he very clearly in mind. He took her as a flower, is A white jade flower, the above without any blemish, he carefully, admiring it, and slowly that it took place in the faint trace of perfume is a very special taste, is his wife so many years in his The body can not feel the taste of another woman, and he gradually tend to her side. but is accompanied by his wife's indifference, and bickering. He felt like an empty white marriage, the longer it put too , the more yellow, wait until the dying of the day, the paper will turn black, so its better to back into one, let him yellow longer, so there is not the end of life As to fare well. This way, he greatly increased the love for her.
one week is not, the boss invited them to the Secretary to the ...
Wednesday, February 23, 2011
China to! (Awesome!)
From China to
mmm Internet, this website assumes no legal responsibility, a person is said to be written, the patience to read yo.
Europe or the U.S. are the next fifty years may be unilateral or candidates to dominate the world together. strong U.S. economic system is fully effective, highly developed social ideology; and China's strength lies in a large population and five thousand years of cultural heritage. 1.3 billion population is hindered development, but as long as the economy and cultural systems and accumulated to a certain level, such obstacles will be transformed into a strong driving force. In fact, cultural and economic competition, population is a decisive factor for the development of human political history, a strong proof of this, and this is the Americans China, the main reason for admiration.
world, however, competition is not within the scope of two people of China and the United States to play the game, ambitious actors everywhere. Europe has not declined, the population density coupled with cultural diversity , as long as they move toward the joint is still the leader of world civilization. Russia is recharge your batteries, it is the shift in power and in Europe, the European division turmoil, Russia will be extremely powerful, stable European Union, Russia is at best a regional power . In addition, India and the Arab world is also a strong competitor. India and China is very similar, so that a dense population of the country wide domain, if the right opportunity, more than the small rich countries easy. in the Arab world, India, Europe, Russia, surrounded by peace, development difficulties, but if circumstances change around the same time, there is internal to unity, but also the ability to fully hegemony the world.
many fellow Americans affected by the recent gas , reflection Ye Hao, complain both mean normal, but not to the eyes and fists to just stare at the Americans. In the history of world civilization, a variety of cultural competition, such as rivers of water, you struggle to catch me, never No rest in a static form into a particular. It is important not drown out one wave, but the competition is always used for strategic advantage. From the point of view dominate the world, human history, more powerful than the barbaric U.S. countries, but they all declined, and even completely erased from the history of mankind, of which reason is worth thinking.
hegemony of the world: a clear
Sheng will decline is not a very good reason , but one thing is very clear, to maintain the status of a leader than struggling to catch up to more difficult. leader likely to commit an error is too obsessed with their own advantages, tend to lag behind pursuers as their reference, so that loss of beyond the power forward. Americans are such a mistake, it is positioned as a strategic competitor to China, is a manifestation of this mentality. like a race, as always interfere with one interception player, how can how can run faster? More frightening is, how it can be stopped by all the players?
but we Chinese people should not be complacent this error for the Americans, was the leader suppressed often fatal. smiling the other competitors, see see Russia, and then look at India, and even the Japanese are very pleased. and the Americans direct confrontation, running side by side, is a long-term strategic objectives, but must wait until the population of this factor as the driving force of economy and culture that broke out day. the current situation we should not be worried about stopping Americans we do not allow us to run, but will not be left behind other competitors.
to cope with this difficulty, winning in the future, China must have a clear long-term strategic thinking. If the people of our government not satisfied with the performance of recently, the fundamental is the government and a people have not thought of forming a broad consensus. rational, beneficial, section of these six words only as a diplomatic means, but is far from clear and effective policy alternatives. Chinese plane hit, the U.S. refused to apologize; Japanese hawks rise vigorously to reverse the verdict of history; ice in the Spratly Islands Philippines sovereignty on the frequency of unfortunate incidents; United States to expand arms sales to Taiwan independence forces on Long Island, heavy influx of these events, how important? If you do not have a long-term strategic thinking, how can we sort out the mess? the Government to How can win the support of people, calm in the face?!
the rise and fall of the world, everyone is responsible. China is a land of Crouching Tiger, heroes repeat itself as much as in imminent danger, the pride to die generously posted on the Web child in the list goes on. However, such sentiments, lack try our fathers ever, ever tasted five thousand years of history and lack?
development of China today, can only be traversed a tortuous road to success, lack of vision, autistic way out the national policy on several occasions pushed to the edge of survival, which is Pifuzhiyong insurmountable. If we can not see much farther, if we can not see more clearly the next point, then struggling with for decades , you can only wait for a review of future generations.
I hope the people who eyes away from the Americans, look at the world map, and then think about the future of our country.
world hegemony of the two : Debate shaped
spread map of the world, our country like a torch, located just above the map.
the north of Russia and Mongolia. west of India and some Islamic countries, notably Pakistan. East face on the Korean Peninsula and Japan. south is rich in Southeast Asia, and Australia.
the continental United States is far away from us, but the Pacific in Hawaii, Midway, Guam and a series of islands, and Taiwan-phase, make the United States not as they seem far away. Europe and the Arab world and we are basically isolated.
if from the geographical point of view, our region can be divided into four blocks to analyze the truck.
1. Northern < br> north is desert, grassland, forest, ice delivery time distribution of the terrain, there can be eight characters, that is sparsely populated, bad weather, so there is not suitable for economic development, in addition to some mineral resources, there is no any particular strategic value. China and both countries have a history of conflict, and Russia which has large tracts of territorial disputes. But it is because there is no strategic value, so both sides can be a conflict for the foreseeable for a long time cover. In addition the distribution of the territory of China and Russia also prevent large-scale military action, both political and economic center thousands of miles away, in the middle is a large no man's land, so that either the military depth makes it difficult battle speed in a short time quick decision.
2. Eastern
Eastern island nation of Japan can see at a glance, between Japan and China are divided Korean peninsula. across the Pacific, the United States, the United States and China through a series of islands connected to the east of the island, These connections and Japan and China Taiwan Island can be roughly draw a triangle. East is direct dialogue between China and the United States places. from the current situation, the United States and the island through an alliance (including the Philippines and Singapore), China's forces successfully suppression of the Chinese coast. So the two sides is reflected in the regional conflicts, especially on U.S. troops. The two sides in this region have considerable cultural influence and advantage, while the U.S. does not always prevail, as a country outside of Asia, like the long-term won by the Chinese Confucian values the trust of the East Asian countries, it is not easy. but not because the United States in the region's geopolitical interests, they were able to form a military alliance longer period of time.
Japan is an exception in the economy powerful country, but in the United States two (north there is Russia) power squeeze, it is difficult as the other. It is the only opportunity for the decline of American party. Japan is not a strategy used the same as the UK to maintain regional balance, on the contrary, it is hoped that regional balance of power, the reason is very simple, it is not a small country facing many of the numerous European, but a land and population ten times that of China. Therefore, in Japan confrontation with China's own strength is not enough, it will for a long time to suppress the Joint United States to China. In this sense, Japan's role not so much a strong opponent, as it is an opportunity to master those.
Korean Peninsula The reason why the situation is now so complicated, it is because this peninsula is the only mainland China can be enough to get a place. the unity of the Korean Peninsula is sooner or later, but in any case, the peninsula will not be a strong country, strong in the public slit pitch is that it is difficult to escape the fate. is precisely for this reason, it fixed the one hand and the strong desire of China, on the other hand is extremely dependent on the U.S. military, in fact, no contradiction between these two points, while sense of existential crisis on the peninsula are two aspects. can be expected to resolve the Korean Peninsula issue depends on the fate of American troops and intimacy between China and South Korea. Another phenomenon can not be ignored in the history of the DPRK has been as emerging role of Japanese competitors, has been trying to get rid of any impact in Japan, so in other conditions are met, the psychological may eventually lead to the Korean Peninsula and China form alliance.
the Taiwan issue is the core issue in this region. again go over the maps will understand that Taiwan itself is in the heart of all the forces. First, it is located in the middle of Japan to Singapore, the United States Central China Sea mid-point of a military alliance. Second, it directly to the hinterland of the continent. again by the Taiwan Strait, Japan and other Asian countries, the traffic must pass through, most of which transport the oil is. Finally, the island itself has a certain area, and is a mountain range running through the island, so there is a certain strategic depth, and can reserve a considerable economic and military strength. In fact, the nature of the Taiwan issue is not just territorial integrity, national reunification problem. Taiwan issue behind a variety of strategies to consider, first of all, it will directly determine the China and comparing the strength of Japan, followed by a direct impact on the U.S. military presence in Asia, and the third, indirect impact on China's future presence in Southeast Asia. From this perspective, Taiwan is a powerful China will have crossed the threshold. < br> East Asia, has been a top priority of China's diplomacy is the most frequent areas of trade, but also all kinds of friction, the most frequent area of conflict. On the one hand, the U.S. on China's suppression of the more successful, on the other hand, China hinterland, a huge market and the history of the impact of cultural origin in East Asia, but also makes the suppression of China has always maintained the ability to rebound. Thus, in addressing the problems of this region to maintain patience and flexibility and rigidity must not be too hasty.
3. South
South generally can be classified into three regions, South Peninsula, the Islands region (Philippines, Indonesia and Malaysia, a), Australia.
the boundaries of the South has a broad, dense population, rich resources, more developed economies, but also an important strategic position. can understand speaking, this is China's backyard. So is the back yard, because no power in Southeast Asia, China in this area should have a decisive influence. and great here resources and development potential, China should also be used, otherwise the Chinese will lose the opportunity to become a world power. Moreover, Chinese and Chinese culture, the broad distribution of the dominance in the region has also decided that this is under the Chinese capital for the construction of backyard. In the backyard, the Indochina Peninsula is most important. The two regional powers on the peninsula, one in Vietnam and one in Thailand. Vietnam is a very strong national character of the country, and China has a long history of alliance, but also repeatedly against each other . Southeast Asia all countries, except Singapore, Vietnam, Chinese culture is the highest degree of recognition, Confucian culture has a dominant position in Vietnam. In addition Vietnam is a strip of country and China coast is connected, has been extended to the top of the Indochina Peninsula, which a large number of port, it can be said that Vietnam is the backyard of a door, a run through the channel, turn it on the road to open the way to Southeast Asia. Thailand's economy developed, the U.S. military, but compared to the entire South Peninsula, limited impact . Thai history and few contacts in China, and Vietnam there are many contradictions, has been Vietnam, China as a clamp force to suppress the U.S. military alliance in China is not enthusiastic about the Pacific Rim, even in regional affairs, and Thailand is not a good fighting the country, from here we can see, Indochina and China did not compete for power.
in the Islands region, the most important is Indonesia and the Philippines. these two countries, Chinese culture has a certain contradiction . The Philippines and China Sea dispute (in fact, we and Vietnam, Malaysia has a dispute), but does not establish the reality of the political situation in the sphere of influence is the need, on one hand, the power vacuum in the surrounding area, I do not intervene, the powers must intervene so that others will fence repair her house, even worse than see a mad dog. In addition, China is not currently available and powers, in particular the conditions of the global fight against the United States, the United States that is not world-class police officers are in every corner of the Almighty, will are overstretched, exhausted the pain of influence around us is entirely possible to concentrate on forcing the U.S. to compromise the interests of obtaining a reliable reality. When the power increases to a certain intensity, it is entirely possible to force the United States from these areas withdraw its forces. Thus, the efforts to establish spheres of influence, is to force the powers that I am the authority of regional power, crushing its differentiation strategy to suppress the fundamental way.
from the current point of view, this condition may be found in areas including the sphere of influence the Korean Peninsula, Taiwan Island, the three Indochina Peninsula, the island region, so the policy may wish to establish spheres of influence policy called Mishima.
the Korean Peninsula should be history repeating itself, a large Korean peninsula will be unified, and strive to play a neutral role. But the fact is that once the intensification of conflicts, America and Japan, South Korea can not maintain long-term neutral. as long as the enemy does not advance the status of the Korean place in the U.S. and Japan may have a direct confrontation, South Korea and China, the possibility of an alliance is large, after all, the mainstream Japanese and Korean conflict in history.
island's reunification is China's internal affairs, but in fact deals with the problem by a sphere of influence. the problem because Taiwan is a strategic special peninsula, as all the problems a top priority. As China Sea between China and the U.S. Central repression against the trend, to resolve the Taiwan issue will be a long, tortuous and full of repeated, must be patient and wait.
A. These include the timing of the military forces of China's economic unprecedentedly powerful;
B. Taiwan's economic collapse;
C. Taiwan's economic transformation to become dependent on the mainland's economic dependency;
D. Indo-China in the struggle for the success of the control, control in the Malacca Strait economic rights , complete blockade of Taiwan's economic situation.
So Taiwan can not be hurried. In addition to patient other than the struggle of Taiwan must have considerable flexibility.'s policy toward Taiwan is not the sovereign control of the core form, but the U.S. military and political presence out of the island, making it Central China Sea repression lines were cut down the middle, if you can do this, even if China is to some form of acquiescence of Taiwan independence, without external support, the circle of power in China is also difficult to maintain . Therefore, while we should continue to exert political pressure on the government, to impose military deterrence, economic policies imposed by inducement, on the other hand, we should adopt a flexible attitude to promote and Taiwan on reunification between the Government of the negotiations, the current problem limited to the impasse, it is very dangerous, isolated in Taiwan for too long, the older generation to die, think of returning home at the heart of light, it is imperative to strengthen bilateral contacts, especially in the private sector contacts, the final analysis, unification or Taiwan independence, Taiwan The future depends on this generation of young people's ideas. two systems can be used as the bottom line of the negotiations, but not as a bottom line policy toward Taiwan. In fact, whatever the form of joint, as long as soon as possible so that Taiwan in the diplomatic and military and China Standing under one banner, both for the ultimate reunification of China or the strategic expansion in the surrounding areas have a huge interest. On the contrary, neither reunification nor independence a long, antagonistic, negative impact on the development of China's largest. As for the Taiwan independence Do not use force when the issue, there should also be flexible and pragmatic policy. the use of force can not be thrown away as a killer of course, but when his plan to use force, it is better prepared to use force to do all the time, economic strength and military strength more powerful, ready to more fully, the decision became more and more independence dystocia, the lower the possibility of hasty use of force. Other causes may have contributed to Taiwan's independence include:
B. change the military balance both sides, Taiwan has the ability to battle overseas;
C. The situation in the surrounding areas beneficial to Taiwan, not only the U.S. and Japan to provide military support to other countries, especially Southeast Asian countries to remain neutral or even pro-Taiwan, mainland China is difficult to make a strategic blockade;
D. civil strife in China, the central government has lost authority .
From here we can see that Taiwan independence will not occur because the island, and off the island. Even the way from the use of force, the crossing should not be fighting a decisive battle in its territory by the army. The success of this approach nature aside, it is either for the people of Taiwan, or on the surrounding Asian countries will have a bad influence. Army strategic air and sea blockade should be the preferred method as the use of force, and its purpose is to turn Taiwan into an island and death island to meet the enemy without fighting the purpose of the soldiers.
If our military can not achieve such a combat level, we can not say that Taiwan has the absolute deterrent capability, it is difficult to make a determination to use force, because the wins are strike, Once any errors, reunification of the motherland would be a serious setback. In fact, China wants to become a regional power, including a difference in Southeast Asia, repressive capacity of the offshore operations is essential.
As for Indochina, should be aware unmistakably be operated as part of our backyard. Currently, the region continues to be a power vacuum, making China has a very good opportunity to enter this area, can not seize this opportunity, will determine whether China can become a regional power, whether to have the world hegemony of capital. The four reasons:
D. This region has a dense population and rich resources, from the long-term perspective, this is to determine the basic elements of competition among power;
E is located in strategic position to control Southeast Asia, is equal to half the control of the Japanese transport lifeline, is equal to the completion of Taiwan's economic blockade on the expansion of India may rise even more deadly constraints. can be described as three birds with one stone.
F. only the control of Indochina, China, is it possible to have the final say in the surrounding situation, the deterrence of all countries including the United States around would be overwhelming.
G. Southeast Asia is a culture of religious pluralism region, the integration of advanced factors within the region, will make a qualitative leap in the Chinese culture has been the opportunity to have the opportunity to become a world culture, which is to become a world power is a prerequisite.
can be expected over the next five decade, Southeast Asia will inevitably be several powers competing for the battlefield, who can be asked to fill the power vacuum in the final race to take advantage. If China's diplomacy has nothing to persistent policies, in addition to reunification is to enter the Indochina. This will be the relentless efforts of several generations of the process, therefore, imperative that the diplomatic, economic and cultural exchanges and political cooperation in Southeast Asia a strong tilt to the early to enter this market and establish the long term existence of common economic interests, increased government and people trust and intimacy, and eliminate the fear of great power politics, and a positive attitude to participate in a constructive political life of this region in the past, to form China's national memory in the area of consensus. In fact, the so-called Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere Japan is also followed this line of thought, fail because they attempt to rely solely on Japan's military conquest of the means to solve problems in a short time, it can not last long. in Indochina, there are three countries China's backyard occupy a prominent position, namely, Vietnam, Singapore and Myanmar. Vietnam is the backyard of the channel, Singapore is the fulcrum, Myanmar is a barrier, as long as they control the three countries, backyard profile Serve. Finally, necessary to clarify the strategy on when to start timing of the implementation of the backyard. My opinion is involved in the sooner the better, of course, means and extent of the system should be advised due to change with time, is important to establish early in the establishment of national consensus in the backyard. sent by the gentleman popular view seems to be thoroughly modern in its completion, the National earned pours consider when to competing with all powers, not knowing the scope of competition in the world is not only the economic strength of the competition, a full range of comprehensive strength competition, missed development opportunity, not always rely on to make up for economic advantage, and often pay a heavy price. history is the best example in Germany. Germany, Britain and France although more than the sum of economic strength, but still have provoked two world wars in order to survive, an important reason for this is the colonial partition of Germany missed the best time, so had to take risks, open living space. In almost paid the price after the death of species, in today's Germany revival of European Union in order only hope, otherwise the opportunity will be lost forever - as the British and French influence that has universal power. Therefore, select the time, comprehensive development is necessary. In addition, the bulkhead construction is somewhat wishful thinking, because Globally, the economic activity itself is full of competition, is a variety of resources to do anything to the competition and the use, of which there are some brutal military conquest. Thus, the self-serving path of peaceful development is a dead end. If the Bull is committed not only have to send the error, then the gentleman did not know he could only describe the allocation of.
world hegemony III: Strategic
and policies to adapt to the three islands is the strategic defense forces ideas. Do not use to say, military force is the fundamental guarantee for the implementation of policies islands, especially the dominant force in all dramatic friction, the military will become an important means of political struggle. adequate and effective military forces will provide China with powers in the struggle for a more favorable balance of interests to the point of this, not only to China's national defense construction in full swing, but also to highlight the characteristics of fighting a regional war. This means that our army must have the ability to have a sphere of influence absolute deterrent capability, including the countries of the region's ability to combat the devastating blockade and counter-attack on the powers to fight the regional war. with a word, economic efficiency is to be able to win any place in a war in the local area. Objectively speaking, our goal from the very far, the need for various improvements.
First, the lack in this area of military alliance, in a regional war, not many disadvantages of the alliance by means and means alone in-depth, one to two students, lack of information, it is difficult to capture the main battle, and even sometimes scant support, a serious blow to the morale. From now on, China and the Indochina countries are likely to be a certain degree of military cooperation.
Second, China should strengthen cooperation in sphere of influence the ability of offshore operations, particularly air and sea blockade of the coastline, deterrence. This requires our military should be particular emphasis on the construction of the Navy, in particular, is the submarine and naval ship-based equipment, its cruising range should be extended from the outlying areas of the Bohai Sea to Singapore. Art of War said: siege for the next, the hearts and minds. modern local wars have confirmed this trend, in the past that the occupation by force the main way to combat outdated, replaced by a full range of sea and air blockade of deterrence, in order to paralyze the enemy's combat logistics capability, the collapse of national morale for the purpose of regional tactics. offshore combat capabilities of air power needs strong support, and blockade of the strategic idea of deterrence consistent with military air fleet and the operational range cruise missile forces should cover this area. Accordingly, nuclear weapons should be to the small, motorized, precision direction, the objective is not to go for large-scale destruction, but strategic objective is the implementation of effective coverage against the enemy, so the collapse of their combat morale. Therefore, the focus of the development of nuclear weapons is not a global anti-personnel and strategic consumption, but a local war deterrent capabilities complement and strengthen the blockade. national defense construction in economic development to determine the proportion of the standard is that our military forces can have one or more regions in the war, and each stage can be a strategic advantage in the local assembly in the enemy's combat units and resources to lower the cost of the a short time, major partial victories, a fundamental collapse of the morale of the enemy operations. where the enemy but also an opponent like the United States. Therefore, we must replace the amount of efficiency, change the past to contain the global defense, space for time military strategic thinking, replaced by a proactive, positive, and partial suppression, blockade and combat strategies. and adapt to this strategic thinking, we need to establish a military alliance in the sphere of influence or relationship, and change defensive posture, the whole shift of military infrastructure along the coast from the mainland, especially in the southeast and southwest regions. in the sphere of influence.
world hegemony of the four: the new requirements of the Chinese culture
any strategy that is divorced from the human factor. and people, not the individual as a spiritual self-sufficiency appears, but as a member of society, reflecting and supporting the survival and development of the society's value system. This sum is the cultural value system.
from development point of view of human history, culture, competition, competition is the fundamental of all, it reflects the progress of the role of history in many cultures this message he melt. a deeper level, the U.S. long-term sustainability of the race the two countries in fact communication between the world's two mainstream culture, the collision between the requirements and results. there is no such form of race, culture is bound to isolate one element, the progress of human society within which life will be stifled. Thus, with courage and dedication involved in this One race, is every sense of the history of the Chinese people should have.
today's world, cultural confrontation and competition is the binary pattern of multiple co-exist. the one hand, there is the world's two main cultural groups, namely, Buddhism and Taoism based group of Chinese culture, and to the spirit of ancient Greek and Christian Rome-based group of European and American culture. These two cultural groups in the spread of human society and broad influence, is hardly comparable to other cultures. Another On the one hand, world culture and has always been diverse and colorful. This includes both the macro-culture phenomenon everywhere, including tributaries of the mainstream culture of the micro side of the phenomenon of school interaction.
between the binary and multiple, it is difficult to distinguish which one is more important to human society, in general, binary decision of the general direction of development of human society, so that this direction is full of multiple variables, and therefore, both the inevitable development of human society and the causal factors of the organic combination. to see that our small planet in the universe repeat itself, and how the inner world of their deep, human social and cultural development as a historical stage, we are far from claiming a high degree of civilization reached the level of value system is far can not reach one dollar from the mature stage, much to the forces of division of space, near to the wisdom of the body for non-life value of the social and natural rights recognized, both European and American culture, or Chinese culture, are still a Fragile primary value system. Thus, the performance of any cultural pretensions, is the humiliation of human ignorance mentality.
reason clearly understand human culture, its own culture, Chinese culture is the first requirement.
Geographically, the group of Chinese culture, including China, Mongolia, all countries in East and Southeast Asia, China and Japan and South Korea in its trunk, and thus used is called the East Asian culture. Chinese culture is known as one of the world's mainstream culture , not self, in fact, America was forced to regard China as an adversary, in addition to seeing its huge population and economic potential, the cultural survival of the crisis and this comes the need for competition is the most important factors.
a culture, a global mainstream, must have people, three factors of space and time integrated.'s population has been repeatedly stressed the importance of a dominant culture can not maintain even the survival of the population are problem , not to mention become mainstream. the history of the powerful countries, because the limitations of their populations can not withstand the pressure of the expansion and eventually collapse are too numerous. In the short run, the quality and the quality of the population determines the quality and culture quality, in the long run, depends largely on the merits of culture the absolute number of people. This is characteristic of cultural transmission and receiving result. culture not only pen in the mouth of the elite, but also in normal individuals clothing, housing line. diet marriage, is the basic way of cultural exchange. In contrast the history of all countries, large population, national subjugation is temporary, this is not the so-called death of the phenomenon of power, more extreme example is the history of China's national Great integration. dynasties Central Plains is the tragedy of the alien rulers, you can surrender to the Han Chinese, but not allow them to change their habits; you can decide sons last name, but can not choose the children of friends and wife. this historical experience tells We, in the economic conditions permit conditions, the advantage of keeping the population on the future direction of world culture have a decisive factor, not only rely on the natural increase of population, but also rely on large-scale emigration and intermarriage.
Second, culture must have its survival and development of the geographical space. ancient disputes, competition for the first, the fight to be fighting over the population, compete for resources, competition and cultural growth of the soil. modern geography of small States bear geographical limits to the power challenge, take risks, and their that is its aggressive nature, as it is a sense of their cultural survival of the natural reaction, the so-called solid Inst died in the war, no war has killed both power, better luck and find a battle. European and American cultural leap in the last two hundred years If there is no geographical discovery together to release the energy of Renaissance Europe, and the results are nothing more than their own. For China, the development of their culture and adapt to its geographical expansion, and decline of Chinese culture , it is also from the solid boundaries, lazy time began. Therefore, the region's stability and expansion of cultural survival and development of their own needs, like China itself, which is quite a vast area the country has been equally indispensable. China's vast and not God given, but the persistent efforts of our ancestors the results; of Chinese culture, is not God given, but rather the result of five thousand years of survival of the fittest; Similarly, the future of China's culture is not God given, but we tread the result of ancestral footsteps.
denied that the Chinese have looked quite confused these will be, or even uncomfortable. They will ask: , world culture will never stay in a competition a static form, a map of the territory is temporary, only a few hundred years later, as historical data, the real power of decision is the growth and decline of territory, which is neither peace can instead of ideals, nor can unsympathetic to avoid. expansion of geographical, cultural groups to consolidate and expand the foundation of the Chinese, and European and American cultural group to the collision and fusion, is China's responsibility entrusted by history, otherwise, history will take the responsibility to choose his country . History is just sensible, in the face of history, we will understand that enterprise is a duty, is a real conscience, because people also to look into the future, and to the broader universe of living space, in this unknown world, strong is the only option.
Finally, a mainstream culture must also pass the test of time. cultural geographical and demographic spread of a horizontal extension, more time on the vertical transmission. in the lateral extension on the demographic and geographic coordinates of the same, which is the accumulation of cultural diversity, and in the longitudinal, demographic and geographic coordinates of a change in culture will be a qualitative change. Thus, the time of the internal vitality of the cultural touchstone. Today mainstream culture, and both are after long-term continuous test of time, this process is a cultural accumulation, the outbreak, Shen?, weak, and then accumulated, and then broke up during the cycle. formation of Chinese culture began in the spring and the outbreak, and finally Qin this period, Chinese culture through the most glorious page in Chinese culture laid the foundation of all. ... on the cultural assets
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Europe or the U.S. are the next fifty years may be unilateral or candidates to dominate the world together. strong U.S. economic system is fully effective, highly developed social ideology; and China's strength lies in a large population and five thousand years of cultural heritage. 1.3 billion population is hindered development, but as long as the economy and cultural systems and accumulated to a certain level, such obstacles will be transformed into a strong driving force. In fact, cultural and economic competition, population is a decisive factor for the development of human political history, a strong proof of this, and this is the Americans China, the main reason for admiration.
world, however, competition is not within the scope of two people of China and the United States to play the game, ambitious actors everywhere. Europe has not declined, the population density coupled with cultural diversity , as long as they move toward the joint is still the leader of world civilization. Russia is recharge your batteries, it is the shift in power and in Europe, the European division turmoil, Russia will be extremely powerful, stable European Union, Russia is at best a regional power . In addition, India and the Arab world is also a strong competitor. India and China is very similar, so that a dense population of the country wide domain, if the right opportunity, more than the small rich countries easy. in the Arab world, India, Europe, Russia, surrounded by peace, development difficulties, but if circumstances change around the same time, there is internal to unity, but also the ability to fully hegemony the world.
many fellow Americans affected by the recent gas , reflection Ye Hao, complain both mean normal, but not to the eyes and fists to just stare at the Americans. In the history of world civilization, a variety of cultural competition, such as rivers of water, you struggle to catch me, never No rest in a static form into a particular. It is important not drown out one wave, but the competition is always used for strategic advantage. From the point of view dominate the world, human history, more powerful than the barbaric U.S. countries, but they all declined, and even completely erased from the history of mankind, of which reason is worth thinking.
hegemony of the world: a clear
Sheng will decline is not a very good reason , but one thing is very clear, to maintain the status of a leader than struggling to catch up to more difficult. leader likely to commit an error is too obsessed with their own advantages, tend to lag behind pursuers as their reference, so that loss of beyond the power forward. Americans are such a mistake, it is positioned as a strategic competitor to China, is a manifestation of this mentality. like a race, as always interfere with one interception player, how can how can run faster? More frightening is, how it can be stopped by all the players?
but we Chinese people should not be complacent this error for the Americans, was the leader suppressed often fatal. smiling the other competitors, see see Russia, and then look at India, and even the Japanese are very pleased. and the Americans direct confrontation, running side by side, is a long-term strategic objectives, but must wait until the population of this factor as the driving force of economy and culture that broke out day. the current situation we should not be worried about stopping Americans we do not allow us to run, but will not be left behind other competitors.
to cope with this difficulty, winning in the future, China must have a clear long-term strategic thinking. If the people of our government not satisfied with the performance of recently, the fundamental is the government and a people have not thought of forming a broad consensus. rational, beneficial, section of these six words only as a diplomatic means, but is far from clear and effective policy alternatives. Chinese plane hit, the U.S. refused to apologize; Japanese hawks rise vigorously to reverse the verdict of history; ice in the Spratly Islands Philippines sovereignty on the frequency of unfortunate incidents; United States to expand arms sales to Taiwan independence forces on Long Island, heavy influx of these events, how important? If you do not have a long-term strategic thinking, how can we sort out the mess? the Government to How can win the support of people, calm in the face?!
the rise and fall of the world, everyone is responsible. China is a land of Crouching Tiger, heroes repeat itself as much as in imminent danger, the pride to die generously posted on the Web child in the list goes on. However, such sentiments, lack try our fathers ever, ever tasted five thousand years of history and lack?
development of China today, can only be traversed a tortuous road to success, lack of vision, autistic way out the national policy on several occasions pushed to the edge of survival, which is Pifuzhiyong insurmountable. If we can not see much farther, if we can not see more clearly the next point, then struggling with for decades , you can only wait for a review of future generations.
I hope the people who eyes away from the Americans, look at the world map, and then think about the future of our country.
world hegemony of the two : Debate shaped
spread map of the world, our country like a torch, located just above the map.
the north of Russia and Mongolia. west of India and some Islamic countries, notably Pakistan. East face on the Korean Peninsula and Japan. south is rich in Southeast Asia, and Australia.
the continental United States is far away from us, but the Pacific in Hawaii, Midway, Guam and a series of islands, and Taiwan-phase, make the United States not as they seem far away. Europe and the Arab world and we are basically isolated.
if from the geographical point of view, our region can be divided into four blocks to analyze the truck.
1. Northern < br> north is desert, grassland, forest, ice delivery time distribution of the terrain, there can be eight characters, that is sparsely populated, bad weather, so there is not suitable for economic development, in addition to some mineral resources, there is no any particular strategic value. China and both countries have a history of conflict, and Russia which has large tracts of territorial disputes. But it is because there is no strategic value, so both sides can be a conflict for the foreseeable for a long time cover. In addition the distribution of the territory of China and Russia also prevent large-scale military action, both political and economic center thousands of miles away, in the middle is a large no man's land, so that either the military depth makes it difficult battle speed in a short time quick decision.
2. Eastern
Eastern island nation of Japan can see at a glance, between Japan and China are divided Korean peninsula. across the Pacific, the United States, the United States and China through a series of islands connected to the east of the island, These connections and Japan and China Taiwan Island can be roughly draw a triangle. East is direct dialogue between China and the United States places. from the current situation, the United States and the island through an alliance (including the Philippines and Singapore), China's forces successfully suppression of the Chinese coast. So the two sides is reflected in the regional conflicts, especially on U.S. troops. The two sides in this region have considerable cultural influence and advantage, while the U.S. does not always prevail, as a country outside of Asia, like the long-term won by the Chinese Confucian values the trust of the East Asian countries, it is not easy. but not because the United States in the region's geopolitical interests, they were able to form a military alliance longer period of time.
Japan is an exception in the economy powerful country, but in the United States two (north there is Russia) power squeeze, it is difficult as the other. It is the only opportunity for the decline of American party. Japan is not a strategy used the same as the UK to maintain regional balance, on the contrary, it is hoped that regional balance of power, the reason is very simple, it is not a small country facing many of the numerous European, but a land and population ten times that of China. Therefore, in Japan confrontation with China's own strength is not enough, it will for a long time to suppress the Joint United States to China. In this sense, Japan's role not so much a strong opponent, as it is an opportunity to master those.
Korean Peninsula The reason why the situation is now so complicated, it is because this peninsula is the only mainland China can be enough to get a place. the unity of the Korean Peninsula is sooner or later, but in any case, the peninsula will not be a strong country, strong in the public slit pitch is that it is difficult to escape the fate. is precisely for this reason, it fixed the one hand and the strong desire of China, on the other hand is extremely dependent on the U.S. military, in fact, no contradiction between these two points, while sense of existential crisis on the peninsula are two aspects. can be expected to resolve the Korean Peninsula issue depends on the fate of American troops and intimacy between China and South Korea. Another phenomenon can not be ignored in the history of the DPRK has been as emerging role of Japanese competitors, has been trying to get rid of any impact in Japan, so in other conditions are met, the psychological may eventually lead to the Korean Peninsula and China form alliance.
the Taiwan issue is the core issue in this region. again go over the maps will understand that Taiwan itself is in the heart of all the forces. First, it is located in the middle of Japan to Singapore, the United States Central China Sea mid-point of a military alliance. Second, it directly to the hinterland of the continent. again by the Taiwan Strait, Japan and other Asian countries, the traffic must pass through, most of which transport the oil is. Finally, the island itself has a certain area, and is a mountain range running through the island, so there is a certain strategic depth, and can reserve a considerable economic and military strength. In fact, the nature of the Taiwan issue is not just territorial integrity, national reunification problem. Taiwan issue behind a variety of strategies to consider, first of all, it will directly determine the China and comparing the strength of Japan, followed by a direct impact on the U.S. military presence in Asia, and the third, indirect impact on China's future presence in Southeast Asia. From this perspective, Taiwan is a powerful China will have crossed the threshold. < br> East Asia, has been a top priority of China's diplomacy is the most frequent areas of trade, but also all kinds of friction, the most frequent area of conflict. On the one hand, the U.S. on China's suppression of the more successful, on the other hand, China hinterland, a huge market and the history of the impact of cultural origin in East Asia, but also makes the suppression of China has always maintained the ability to rebound. Thus, in addressing the problems of this region to maintain patience and flexibility and rigidity must not be too hasty.
3. South
South generally can be classified into three regions, South Peninsula, the Islands region (Philippines, Indonesia and Malaysia, a), Australia.
the boundaries of the South has a broad, dense population, rich resources, more developed economies, but also an important strategic position. can understand speaking, this is China's backyard. So is the back yard, because no power in Southeast Asia, China in this area should have a decisive influence. and great here resources and development potential, China should also be used, otherwise the Chinese will lose the opportunity to become a world power. Moreover, Chinese and Chinese culture, the broad distribution of the dominance in the region has also decided that this is under the Chinese capital for the construction of backyard. In the backyard, the Indochina Peninsula is most important. The two regional powers on the peninsula, one in Vietnam and one in Thailand. Vietnam is a very strong national character of the country, and China has a long history of alliance, but also repeatedly against each other . Southeast Asia all countries, except Singapore, Vietnam, Chinese culture is the highest degree of recognition, Confucian culture has a dominant position in Vietnam. In addition Vietnam is a strip of country and China coast is connected, has been extended to the top of the Indochina Peninsula, which a large number of port, it can be said that Vietnam is the backyard of a door, a run through the channel, turn it on the road to open the way to Southeast Asia. Thailand's economy developed, the U.S. military, but compared to the entire South Peninsula, limited impact . Thai history and few contacts in China, and Vietnam there are many contradictions, has been Vietnam, China as a clamp force to suppress the U.S. military alliance in China is not enthusiastic about the Pacific Rim, even in regional affairs, and Thailand is not a good fighting the country, from here we can see, Indochina and China did not compete for power.
in the Islands region, the most important is Indonesia and the Philippines. these two countries, Chinese culture has a certain contradiction . The Philippines and China Sea dispute (in fact, we and Vietnam, Malaysia has a dispute), but does not establish the reality of the political situation in the sphere of influence is the need, on one hand, the power vacuum in the surrounding area, I do not intervene, the powers must intervene so that others will fence repair her house, even worse than see a mad dog. In addition, China is not currently available and powers, in particular the conditions of the global fight against the United States, the United States that is not world-class police officers are in every corner of the Almighty, will are overstretched, exhausted the pain of influence around us is entirely possible to concentrate on forcing the U.S. to compromise the interests of obtaining a reliable reality. When the power increases to a certain intensity, it is entirely possible to force the United States from these areas withdraw its forces. Thus, the efforts to establish spheres of influence, is to force the powers that I am the authority of regional power, crushing its differentiation strategy to suppress the fundamental way.
from the current point of view, this condition may be found in areas including the sphere of influence the Korean Peninsula, Taiwan Island, the three Indochina Peninsula, the island region, so the policy may wish to establish spheres of influence policy called Mishima.
the Korean Peninsula should be history repeating itself, a large Korean peninsula will be unified, and strive to play a neutral role. But the fact is that once the intensification of conflicts, America and Japan, South Korea can not maintain long-term neutral. as long as the enemy does not advance the status of the Korean place in the U.S. and Japan may have a direct confrontation, South Korea and China, the possibility of an alliance is large, after all, the mainstream Japanese and Korean conflict in history.
island's reunification is China's internal affairs, but in fact deals with the problem by a sphere of influence. the problem because Taiwan is a strategic special peninsula, as all the problems a top priority. As China Sea between China and the U.S. Central repression against the trend, to resolve the Taiwan issue will be a long, tortuous and full of repeated, must be patient and wait.
A. These include the timing of the military forces of China's economic unprecedentedly powerful;
B. Taiwan's economic collapse;
C. Taiwan's economic transformation to become dependent on the mainland's economic dependency;
D. Indo-China in the struggle for the success of the control, control in the Malacca Strait economic rights , complete blockade of Taiwan's economic situation.
So Taiwan can not be hurried. In addition to patient other than the struggle of Taiwan must have considerable flexibility.'s policy toward Taiwan is not the sovereign control of the core form, but the U.S. military and political presence out of the island, making it Central China Sea repression lines were cut down the middle, if you can do this, even if China is to some form of acquiescence of Taiwan independence, without external support, the circle of power in China is also difficult to maintain . Therefore, while we should continue to exert political pressure on the government, to impose military deterrence, economic policies imposed by inducement, on the other hand, we should adopt a flexible attitude to promote and Taiwan on reunification between the Government of the negotiations, the current problem limited to the impasse, it is very dangerous, isolated in Taiwan for too long, the older generation to die, think of returning home at the heart of light, it is imperative to strengthen bilateral contacts, especially in the private sector contacts, the final analysis, unification or Taiwan independence, Taiwan The future depends on this generation of young people's ideas. two systems can be used as the bottom line of the negotiations, but not as a bottom line policy toward Taiwan. In fact, whatever the form of joint, as long as soon as possible so that Taiwan in the diplomatic and military and China Standing under one banner, both for the ultimate reunification of China or the strategic expansion in the surrounding areas have a huge interest. On the contrary, neither reunification nor independence a long, antagonistic, negative impact on the development of China's largest. As for the Taiwan independence Do not use force when the issue, there should also be flexible and pragmatic policy. the use of force can not be thrown away as a killer of course, but when his plan to use force, it is better prepared to use force to do all the time, economic strength and military strength more powerful, ready to more fully, the decision became more and more independence dystocia, the lower the possibility of hasty use of force. Other causes may have contributed to Taiwan's independence include:
B. change the military balance both sides, Taiwan has the ability to battle overseas;
C. The situation in the surrounding areas beneficial to Taiwan, not only the U.S. and Japan to provide military support to other countries, especially Southeast Asian countries to remain neutral or even pro-Taiwan, mainland China is difficult to make a strategic blockade;
D. civil strife in China, the central government has lost authority .
From here we can see that Taiwan independence will not occur because the island, and off the island. Even the way from the use of force, the crossing should not be fighting a decisive battle in its territory by the army. The success of this approach nature aside, it is either for the people of Taiwan, or on the surrounding Asian countries will have a bad influence. Army strategic air and sea blockade should be the preferred method as the use of force, and its purpose is to turn Taiwan into an island and death island to meet the enemy without fighting the purpose of the soldiers.
If our military can not achieve such a combat level, we can not say that Taiwan has the absolute deterrent capability, it is difficult to make a determination to use force, because the wins are strike, Once any errors, reunification of the motherland would be a serious setback. In fact, China wants to become a regional power, including a difference in Southeast Asia, repressive capacity of the offshore operations is essential.
As for Indochina, should be aware unmistakably be operated as part of our backyard. Currently, the region continues to be a power vacuum, making China has a very good opportunity to enter this area, can not seize this opportunity, will determine whether China can become a regional power, whether to have the world hegemony of capital. The four reasons:
D. This region has a dense population and rich resources, from the long-term perspective, this is to determine the basic elements of competition among power;
E is located in strategic position to control Southeast Asia, is equal to half the control of the Japanese transport lifeline, is equal to the completion of Taiwan's economic blockade on the expansion of India may rise even more deadly constraints. can be described as three birds with one stone.
F. only the control of Indochina, China, is it possible to have the final say in the surrounding situation, the deterrence of all countries including the United States around would be overwhelming.
G. Southeast Asia is a culture of religious pluralism region, the integration of advanced factors within the region, will make a qualitative leap in the Chinese culture has been the opportunity to have the opportunity to become a world culture, which is to become a world power is a prerequisite.
can be expected over the next five decade, Southeast Asia will inevitably be several powers competing for the battlefield, who can be asked to fill the power vacuum in the final race to take advantage. If China's diplomacy has nothing to persistent policies, in addition to reunification is to enter the Indochina. This will be the relentless efforts of several generations of the process, therefore, imperative that the diplomatic, economic and cultural exchanges and political cooperation in Southeast Asia a strong tilt to the early to enter this market and establish the long term existence of common economic interests, increased government and people trust and intimacy, and eliminate the fear of great power politics, and a positive attitude to participate in a constructive political life of this region in the past, to form China's national memory in the area of consensus. In fact, the so-called Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere Japan is also followed this line of thought, fail because they attempt to rely solely on Japan's military conquest of the means to solve problems in a short time, it can not last long. in Indochina, there are three countries China's backyard occupy a prominent position, namely, Vietnam, Singapore and Myanmar. Vietnam is the backyard of the channel, Singapore is the fulcrum, Myanmar is a barrier, as long as they control the three countries, backyard profile Serve. Finally, necessary to clarify the strategy on when to start timing of the implementation of the backyard. My opinion is involved in the sooner the better, of course, means and extent of the system should be advised due to change with time, is important to establish early in the establishment of national consensus in the backyard. sent by the gentleman popular view seems to be thoroughly modern in its completion, the National earned pours consider when to competing with all powers, not knowing the scope of competition in the world is not only the economic strength of the competition, a full range of comprehensive strength competition, missed development opportunity, not always rely on to make up for economic advantage, and often pay a heavy price. history is the best example in Germany. Germany, Britain and France although more than the sum of economic strength, but still have provoked two world wars in order to survive, an important reason for this is the colonial partition of Germany missed the best time, so had to take risks, open living space. In almost paid the price after the death of species, in today's Germany revival of European Union in order only hope, otherwise the opportunity will be lost forever - as the British and French influence that has universal power. Therefore, select the time, comprehensive development is necessary. In addition, the bulkhead construction is somewhat wishful thinking, because Globally, the economic activity itself is full of competition, is a variety of resources to do anything to the competition and the use, of which there are some brutal military conquest. Thus, the self-serving path of peaceful development is a dead end. If the Bull is committed not only have to send the error, then the gentleman did not know he could only describe the allocation of.
world hegemony III: Strategic
and policies to adapt to the three islands is the strategic defense forces ideas. Do not use to say, military force is the fundamental guarantee for the implementation of policies islands, especially the dominant force in all dramatic friction, the military will become an important means of political struggle. adequate and effective military forces will provide China with powers in the struggle for a more favorable balance of interests to the point of this, not only to China's national defense construction in full swing, but also to highlight the characteristics of fighting a regional war. This means that our army must have the ability to have a sphere of influence absolute deterrent capability, including the countries of the region's ability to combat the devastating blockade and counter-attack on the powers to fight the regional war. with a word, economic efficiency is to be able to win any place in a war in the local area. Objectively speaking, our goal from the very far, the need for various improvements.
First, the lack in this area of military alliance, in a regional war, not many disadvantages of the alliance by means and means alone in-depth, one to two students, lack of information, it is difficult to capture the main battle, and even sometimes scant support, a serious blow to the morale. From now on, China and the Indochina countries are likely to be a certain degree of military cooperation.
Second, China should strengthen cooperation in sphere of influence the ability of offshore operations, particularly air and sea blockade of the coastline, deterrence. This requires our military should be particular emphasis on the construction of the Navy, in particular, is the submarine and naval ship-based equipment, its cruising range should be extended from the outlying areas of the Bohai Sea to Singapore. Art of War said: siege for the next, the hearts and minds. modern local wars have confirmed this trend, in the past that the occupation by force the main way to combat outdated, replaced by a full range of sea and air blockade of deterrence, in order to paralyze the enemy's combat logistics capability, the collapse of national morale for the purpose of regional tactics. offshore combat capabilities of air power needs strong support, and blockade of the strategic idea of deterrence consistent with military air fleet and the operational range cruise missile forces should cover this area. Accordingly, nuclear weapons should be to the small, motorized, precision direction, the objective is not to go for large-scale destruction, but strategic objective is the implementation of effective coverage against the enemy, so the collapse of their combat morale. Therefore, the focus of the development of nuclear weapons is not a global anti-personnel and strategic consumption, but a local war deterrent capabilities complement and strengthen the blockade. national defense construction in economic development to determine the proportion of the standard is that our military forces can have one or more regions in the war, and each stage can be a strategic advantage in the local assembly in the enemy's combat units and resources to lower the cost of the a short time, major partial victories, a fundamental collapse of the morale of the enemy operations. where the enemy but also an opponent like the United States. Therefore, we must replace the amount of efficiency, change the past to contain the global defense, space for time military strategic thinking, replaced by a proactive, positive, and partial suppression, blockade and combat strategies. and adapt to this strategic thinking, we need to establish a military alliance in the sphere of influence or relationship, and change defensive posture, the whole shift of military infrastructure along the coast from the mainland, especially in the southeast and southwest regions. in the sphere of influence.
world hegemony of the four: the new requirements of the Chinese culture
any strategy that is divorced from the human factor. and people, not the individual as a spiritual self-sufficiency appears, but as a member of society, reflecting and supporting the survival and development of the society's value system. This sum is the cultural value system.
from development point of view of human history, culture, competition, competition is the fundamental of all, it reflects the progress of the role of history in many cultures this message he melt. a deeper level, the U.S. long-term sustainability of the race the two countries in fact communication between the world's two mainstream culture, the collision between the requirements and results. there is no such form of race, culture is bound to isolate one element, the progress of human society within which life will be stifled. Thus, with courage and dedication involved in this One race, is every sense of the history of the Chinese people should have.
today's world, cultural confrontation and competition is the binary pattern of multiple co-exist. the one hand, there is the world's two main cultural groups, namely, Buddhism and Taoism based group of Chinese culture, and to the spirit of ancient Greek and Christian Rome-based group of European and American culture. These two cultural groups in the spread of human society and broad influence, is hardly comparable to other cultures. Another On the one hand, world culture and has always been diverse and colorful. This includes both the macro-culture phenomenon everywhere, including tributaries of the mainstream culture of the micro side of the phenomenon of school interaction.
between the binary and multiple, it is difficult to distinguish which one is more important to human society, in general, binary decision of the general direction of development of human society, so that this direction is full of multiple variables, and therefore, both the inevitable development of human society and the causal factors of the organic combination. to see that our small planet in the universe repeat itself, and how the inner world of their deep, human social and cultural development as a historical stage, we are far from claiming a high degree of civilization reached the level of value system is far can not reach one dollar from the mature stage, much to the forces of division of space, near to the wisdom of the body for non-life value of the social and natural rights recognized, both European and American culture, or Chinese culture, are still a Fragile primary value system. Thus, the performance of any cultural pretensions, is the humiliation of human ignorance mentality.
reason clearly understand human culture, its own culture, Chinese culture is the first requirement.
Geographically, the group of Chinese culture, including China, Mongolia, all countries in East and Southeast Asia, China and Japan and South Korea in its trunk, and thus used is called the East Asian culture. Chinese culture is known as one of the world's mainstream culture , not self, in fact, America was forced to regard China as an adversary, in addition to seeing its huge population and economic potential, the cultural survival of the crisis and this comes the need for competition is the most important factors.
a culture, a global mainstream, must have people, three factors of space and time integrated.'s population has been repeatedly stressed the importance of a dominant culture can not maintain even the survival of the population are problem , not to mention become mainstream. the history of the powerful countries, because the limitations of their populations can not withstand the pressure of the expansion and eventually collapse are too numerous. In the short run, the quality and the quality of the population determines the quality and culture quality, in the long run, depends largely on the merits of culture the absolute number of people. This is characteristic of cultural transmission and receiving result. culture not only pen in the mouth of the elite, but also in normal individuals clothing, housing line. diet marriage, is the basic way of cultural exchange. In contrast the history of all countries, large population, national subjugation is temporary, this is not the so-called death of the phenomenon of power, more extreme example is the history of China's national Great integration. dynasties Central Plains is the tragedy of the alien rulers, you can surrender to the Han Chinese, but not allow them to change their habits; you can decide sons last name, but can not choose the children of friends and wife. this historical experience tells We, in the economic conditions permit conditions, the advantage of keeping the population on the future direction of world culture have a decisive factor, not only rely on the natural increase of population, but also rely on large-scale emigration and intermarriage.
Second, culture must have its survival and development of the geographical space. ancient disputes, competition for the first, the fight to be fighting over the population, compete for resources, competition and cultural growth of the soil. modern geography of small States bear geographical limits to the power challenge, take risks, and their that is its aggressive nature, as it is a sense of their cultural survival of the natural reaction, the so-called solid Inst died in the war, no war has killed both power, better luck and find a battle. European and American cultural leap in the last two hundred years If there is no geographical discovery together to release the energy of Renaissance Europe, and the results are nothing more than their own. For China, the development of their culture and adapt to its geographical expansion, and decline of Chinese culture , it is also from the solid boundaries, lazy time began. Therefore, the region's stability and expansion of cultural survival and development of their own needs, like China itself, which is quite a vast area the country has been equally indispensable. China's vast and not God given, but the persistent efforts of our ancestors the results; of Chinese culture, is not God given, but rather the result of five thousand years of survival of the fittest; Similarly, the future of China's culture is not God given, but we tread the result of ancestral footsteps.
denied that the Chinese have looked quite confused these will be, or even uncomfortable. They will ask: , world culture will never stay in a competition a static form, a map of the territory is temporary, only a few hundred years later, as historical data, the real power of decision is the growth and decline of territory, which is neither peace can instead of ideals, nor can unsympathetic to avoid. expansion of geographical, cultural groups to consolidate and expand the foundation of the Chinese, and European and American cultural group to the collision and fusion, is China's responsibility entrusted by history, otherwise, history will take the responsibility to choose his country . History is just sensible, in the face of history, we will understand that enterprise is a duty, is a real conscience, because people also to look into the future, and to the broader universe of living space, in this unknown world, strong is the only option.
Finally, a mainstream culture must also pass the test of time. cultural geographical and demographic spread of a horizontal extension, more time on the vertical transmission. in the lateral extension on the demographic and geographic coordinates of the same, which is the accumulation of cultural diversity, and in the longitudinal, demographic and geographic coordinates of a change in culture will be a qualitative change. Thus, the time of the internal vitality of the cultural touchstone. Today mainstream culture, and both are after long-term continuous test of time, this process is a cultural accumulation, the outbreak, Shen?, weak, and then accumulated, and then broke up during the cycle. formation of Chinese culture began in the spring and the outbreak, and finally Qin this period, Chinese culture through the most glorious page in Chinese culture laid the foundation of all. ... on the cultural assets
Tuesday, February 22, 2011
fishing - fishing how to open an account gold gold gold ...
KDJ hand】 【fishing fine gold solution (a)
KDJ (Stochastics) mm random targets, short-term overbought and oversold indicator.
Sword
1.K down the value of D values for cross-selling , K D values in the value of buying up the cross.
2. grade down cross-validation in two consecutive losses, low-end up cross-validation in two consecutive gains.
3.D value <20 oversold (for buy), D values> 80 overbought (for sale), J value> 100 overbought, J value of do not buy do not sell).
5. speculative stocks do not apply too (easy to passive, ultra-strong market with average line).
flaws
abnormal market indicator does not apply when hovering.
crack
1. volatile time out, or give up the use KD indicators CCI, ROC, BOLLINGER BANDS other.
2. Reference VR, ROC, observe whether a stock is beyond the scope of the normal distribution, Once for the extreme strength of the trend, KD overbought oversold feature useless (super strong market with average line).
3. can be observed deviation from KD value and price to confirm the high and low, looking away from than with the KD value MACD is also useful, away from selling the top and bottom away from m to buy.
Cheats
1.KDJ indicators should be used in conjunction with the RSI indicator (look KDJ, look at the RSI).
2. in the best long-term use moving average index, can not use KDJ indicator.
3. overbought and oversold to see DJ, K overbought and oversold does not mean that only from the cross-role. J is a sensitive index, leading indicators, J market changes indicate a change.
4.60? 40 between the consolidation, do not buy not sell.
5.KD wore 91, sold the stock to rest, KD fell 7-8, buy some stock made to wait.
6. Key to master: second cross, K does not indicate overbought oversold, only do not do long-short.
Note: After high price, KD will be easier to over 80.
Experience 1: MACD, D oversold, D oversold, the second cross, to buy.
Experience 2: After the stock price high, K value 50? 60, Alice 60 head, buy, do short-term, profit-left (about 7% ), can not be greedy.
KDJ indicator is also called the principle of
KDJ Stochastic indicators, by George. blue with Dr (George Lane) was first proposed, is a very innovative, practical and technical analysis indicators, it At first used for the analysis of futures markets, was widely used for short-term stock market trend analysis, futures and stock market technical analysis tools most commonly used. Section KDJ indicator principle and calculation method
one, KDJ indicator KDJ
Stochastic principles generally based on the principles of statistics, through a specific period (usually 9, 9 weeks, etc.) appeared within the high, low, and the last closing price of computing cycles, and this proportional relationship between the three, to calculate the final calculation of random values immature period RSV, and then smoothed moving average method to calculate the K values, D values and J values, and plotted graphs of determining the stock trend.
Stochastic KDJ is the highest price, the lowest closing price for the basic data and calculations, the resulting K values, D values and J values were formed in the target coordinates of a point, the connection point of numerous such bits to form a complete, can reflect the trend of price fluctuations KDJ indicator. It is mainly used to price fluctuations in the real volatility of price movements reflect the strength and overbought oversold, not increase or decrease in price before the trading signals issued a technical tool. It is mainly in the design process of high, low and close relationship between the integration of the momentum but also the concept of strong and weak indicators and moving averages some of the advantages, therefore, be able to compare quickly , fast, intuitive judgments market. Stochastic KDJ is the earliest form of KD indicators, and KD Williams indicators index is developed on the basis of. But only the judge, William indicators overbought oversold stocks phenomenon in KDJ indicators are moving average convergence speed of the concept of developing a more accurate basis for trading signals. In practice, K line and D line with the J line integral KDJ indicators to use. KDJ line as a random fluctuation is essentially the concept of Therefore, its short-term market trend for the control more accurate.
General Section index judged
KDJ Stochastic KDJ mainly through the K, D and J posed by the three curves to analyze the relationship between the graphics on the stock market overbought oversold trend and departure from the K line, D line and J lines are cross * break and so, in order to predict stock prices, the short-term and long-term trends. KDJ is well known to most investors on the market analysis tools, but the specific use, investors may find KDJ trend analysis results and the actual existence of a particularly big difference, and sometimes come to opposite conclusions, which mainly because most investors only know KDJ the general principles and methods of analysis and analysis of indicators of KDJ some meaning and little is known about the specific analytical skills. This section describes the stock market analysis at the popular market in general judged KDJ techniques and analysis methods, focusing on the internal law of mining KDJ indicators, detailed analysis of the KDJ judged some special features.
KDJ indicator is the three curves, in the application of standards KDJ indicators generally judged mainly from the values of three parameters KDJ, KDJ curve shape, KDJ curves cross *, KDJ departure from the curve and K line, D line, J line running and KDJ curve with the curve with the price of six aspects to consider.
one, KDJ values
1, the range of indicators
KDJ , K value and D value range is 0-100, while the range of J values can exceed 100 and below 0, but in the analysis software's analysis on the scope of KDJ is 0-100. usually sensitive terms, J values of the strongest, K value of the second, D the value of the slowest, but in terms of safety, J value of the worst, K value of the second, D value is the most stable.
2, overbought oversold signals According to the value
KDJ can be divided into several regions, that is overbought zone, oversold area and wandering area. As a general criteria for the classification, K, D, J 20 the following three values for the oversold zone is the buy signal; K, D, J these three values in overbought zone above 80, is the sell signal; K, D, J between these three values is hovering in the 20-80 area, should wait and see.
3, the long and short of power
Generally, when K, D, J c values near 50, both long and short that the balance of power; when the K, D, J c values are greater than 50, said the multi- dominant power; when the K, D, J c values are less than 50, said Kongfangliliang dominant.
Second, KDJ curve shape
KDJ indicator can also be judged from the curve shape to analyze KDJ . When KDJ index of the element forms the end of the formation of head and shoulders, double top and bottom morphology (ie, M Head, W end) and triple tops and bottoms and other forms, they can be judged according to the method of formation theory to analyze. KDJ the various curves form is to determine market trends, a decision analysis trading opportunity. In addition, KDJ index curve can also draw trend lines, pressure lines and support lines.
1, when the KDJ curve above the high of 50, if KDJ the trend curve M head or triple top formation and other top reversal pattern, may indicate a strong turn by the weak stock prices, stock prices will collapse, it is timely to sell the stock. If the price curve also appeared to confirm the same shape even more, The decline in M can be used such as head or triple top formation theory to judgments.
2, KDJ curve when the low of 50 below, if the trend curve KDJ W appears at the bottom end or the triple bottom reversal pattern, etc., may indicate became strong from a weak stock, the stock will bounce up and can absorb a small amount of bargain stocks. If the share price also appears the same shape curve can confirm that the increase can be the end of Form W or triple bottom theory judged.
3, KDJ curve shape in the form of M top of the head and the accuracy of the triple W to be greater than the bottom end and triple.
three, KDJ curve curve intersection *
KDJ divided into the gold cross cross * cross * * and two deaths forms
general, in a stock rally and the decline in the integrity of the process, KDJ indicator of K, D, J line will appear twice or more of the AC * death When the stock market will show a stronger share price decline has ended, will climb up, you can start buying the stock, the medium and long term positions. KDJ indicator is the 2, when the stock price increases over time in the process of market consolidation, and K, D, J lines are hovering near the line at 50, once the J line and K line break up again almost at the same D line, when the volume of re-release, showed that among the stock market is in a strong stock price will rise again, you can buy stocks or shares to be coded up, and this is KDJ indicator a rise in pre-market long after the price increase has a great case, once the J line and K line in the high (80 or above) is almost the same time breaking down the D line, indicating that the stock market is about to become weak by the strong share price will crash, when most of the stock should be sold and can not buy stocks, and this is KDJ indicator of the lack of upward momentum rally, the stock price of various moving average to form a strong pressure, KDJ curve to 80 after a brief rally near the line, but failed to return for more than 80 lines, once the J line and K line break down again D line, that the stock market will once again enter the extremely Ruoshi, the stock price will fall, you can then sell the shares or wait and see, this is KDJ indicator curve deviated from the curve deviated from the
KDJ KDJ indicator means when the movement direction of the curve and just the trend line graph K the opposite direction. KDJ indicators have deviated away from the top and bottom two kinds of departure.
when the stock price K line graph on the stock trend of a peak than a peak, the share price has to rise, and KDJ curve on KDJ indicator of the trend is at a high level of a peak than a peak is low, called the top against the phenomenon. top against the phenomenon is generally price will be high reversal of the signal that the stock will decline in the short term, is a sell signal.
K when the stock price on the stock trend chart for a lower peak than a peak, the share price to fall, and KDJ KDJ graph indicators on the trend is in the low end to one end of a high and called low departure from the phenomenon. the end of the stock price will deviate from the general phenomenon of low reversal signal that the stock will rise in the short term, is a buy signal.
and other technologies departure from the phenomenon of the same indicators judged, KDJ's departure, the departure from the top of the judged accuracy than DIFF. When the stock price at a high level, KDJ appeared in more than 80 top-divergence, that is about to reverse the downward stock price, investors in a timely manner sell the stock; the share price low, KDJ is also low (50 below) appears at the end deviation, generally repeated several times to confirm the departure end, and investors can only do short-term investment strategy or do Jiancang.
five , K, D, J curve running state
1, when the J curve starts at the bottom (below 50) to break up K curve, indicating weak stock price consolidation pattern may be broken, the upward movement of short-term stock price, investors can consider a small amount of long-term positions. 2, when K J curve upward curve and quickly break up the movement as well as break up the curve D curve, indicating that long-term share price rally has begun, investors can buy shares to increase the intensity.
3, when K, D, J curves begin to emerge from previous narrow range consolidation and rapid upward movement at the same time, indicating a strong short-term stock price has been pulled into the market, investors should be holding up strongly.
4, when J curve after a period of rapid upward movement after the process at a high level (80 or more) down to U-turn, indicating the short-term stock price rose too quickly, will start short-term adjustments, investors can short sell the stock.
5, when the D curve began in the high turn down, indicating the short-term price rally may be over, investors should sell the stock neutral. 6, when the K curve downward turn began when at a high level, indicating that short-term rise in stock prices has ended, Investors should leave all the clearing.
7, when K, D, J curve downward from a high level at the same time when the stock price decline that has been formed, investors should firmly hold out.
six, KDJ curve used in conjunction with the price curve
1, when the price curve from the curve and KDJ low (KDJ values were below 50) increased simultaneously, suggesting that long-term trend of stock prices to improve, short-term price trend is expected to continue rising, investors should to continue holding or bargain hunters.
2, when the price curve from KDJ curve and high (KDJ values are above 50) Synchronous decreased, indicating that the short-term stock price will continue to decline, investors should continue to hold out or sell into rallies.
3, when the KDJ curve down from a high, after a strong correction after a period of time up again and hit a new high, while the price curve is also high after a strong correction to rise again hit a new high, indicating that the stock's upward momentum still strong, investors can continue to be holding up.
4, when dropped from a high KDJ curve, over time, upward again after consolidation, but the previous high near the Shique turn down, unable to hit a new high When the price curve is still rising slowly, and hit a new high, KDJ curve and high price curve in the opposite trend formed, which could mean rising stock prices began to weaken the power, KDJ indicator top against the emergence of the phenomenon. At this time investment should be careful, once the stock price from the bottom should be firm and timely manner to leave.
5, when the KDJ curve down in the long process of the disadvantaged, vulnerable after a period of time after the rebound and hit a new low again down, while the price curve down again after the weak consolidation new low, indicating that the decline in stock price momentum is still strong, investors can continue to hold out.
6, when the KDJ curve upward rebound from a low to a certain high level, fell down again, but callback to the previous low of near stabilized stabilized, failed to hit a new low, while the curves are still slow decline in stock prices and new lows, KDJ curve and the curve in the low stock price formation opposite trend, which may mean fell kinetic energy of the starting weak, KDJ indicator appears at the end away from the phenomenon. At this point investors should pay close attention to price movements, once short-term stock prices can buy up to wait for the emergence of a rebound.
KDJ curve position and the direction in which the
(a) of the shares to be up signal
1, when the KDJ curve 80 after the break up, if KDJ curve has been run in more than 80 regions, the mean price in a strong rally, and that this index is issued KDJ signal to be holding up, if the share price in the short-term moving average also rely on the uplink, such a holding signal more obvious. At this point, investors should be up strongly short-term holdings.
2, when the KDJ curve while the three curves up operation, that is in a strong rise in stock prices, and that this is also the issue of shares to be up KDJ signal. KDJ indicators as long as the K line and the J line is not down below D line and D line of the direction is always upward investors may be holding all the way up.
(b) hold out signaling
1, when the KDJ curve break down after 50, if the curve has been running at 50 KDJ the following areas, it means that stock prices are Vulnerable down market, and that this is the issue of holding money KDJ indicator signal to be up, if the stock also was down in the suppression of short-term moving average, which hold out the signal even more obvious. At this point, investors should firmly hold out. < br> 2, when the KDJ curve in the high (50 or more) dead *, if the three curves diverge down the same time, that is in a weak stock market being down, which is issued by the hold out KDJ indicator signal. At this point, Investors should wait and see holding firm. This holding signals more obvious. At this point, investors should be up strongly short-term holdings.
conditions: when a stock technical indicators to a golden week KDJ *, then five weeks all content must be less than the amount of ten weeks were then KDJ technical indicators During the five days were less than ten daily average, also the formation of gold *, this time for effective payment *.
KDJ indicator of actual combat experience in application of ideas
commonly used in traditional brokerage Qianlong software, there are dozens of technical indicators for new investors to investors at a loss, with the popularization of computers, especially the stock of professional software innovation, some of the stock software with self index function, leaving fans never tired of bold adaptation of technology innovation indicators, indicators of popular online even tens of thousands, but also to dazzle the old shareholders, in fact, aim, nothing more than average price and volume variation of different combinations of expression, the real valuable new ideas can be described as rare, several commonly used anti-classic as the traditional indicators of utility, of course, to really grasp the essence of the magical need 下一番功夫. Three Kingdoms Zhao big guns that can be vertical and horizontal bar world, not the gun itself * , but that the shot-gun users!
any technical indicator has its own flaws and limitations, such as the MACD trend in the blind spot of turbulence, KDJ type of passivation squeeze blind sided pagoda pair top and bottom of the blind, the pressure of moving average support for the validity of the adjustment in place of the blind, turnover on the ship can not tell the blind Xihuo and so on. We can make up for other indicators to each other deficiencies, such as using KDJ, CDP to cover the auxiliary MACD system; CCI, DMI to compensate KDJ system; KDJ, RSI to make up for average system; KDJ, RSI to make up for departure from the Pagoda line system; stock average high and low level and the K line to compensate for turnover of the blind, etc., etc., of course, sometimes an indicator Another indicator can not fully compensate for the defects, you need to look at this issue Discrimination.
Applications: 1) K line is to quickly identify lines - values above the 90 overbought and values below 10 is oversold;
D line is the slow backbone - value above 80 is overbought, oversold following values at 20;
J line is direction sensitive line, when J is greater than 100, especially for 5 days or more, the formation of the head at least short-term stock price, whereas J is less than 0, in particular, for several days, the stock will form at least short-term bottom.
2) When the K value is greater than the small D value gradually, the graph K line from the bottom on display through D line, shows the current trend is upward, so the K line on the graph to break up D line, is the buy signal.
real time when the K, D line 20 the following exchange * up, this time short-term buy signal is more accurate; If the K values below 50, from bottom to top through two successive rounds of the D value, the formation of the right than the left end of the high end stock market outlook, there may be considerable gains.
3) When the K value gradually from the larger value is less than D, K line on the graph shows beneath the D line from the top, shows the current trend is downward, so the graph break down on the K line D line, is the sell signal.
actual combat when the K, D lines cross above 80 * down, this time short-term sell signal is more accurate; if the K value 50 or more, from top to bottom beneath the D value of two successive, forming the right head and left head lower than the departure from the trend of stock prices to determine top and bottom is also quite practical way:
A) shares high, while the KD value is not high, for the top away from, should sell;
B) stock prices to new lows, and KD value is not new lows for the MACD should buy;
C) stock price is not high, and KD values of a new high, away from the top, should sell;
D) is not a new low price, while the KD value new lows for the MACD should buy;
to note that departure from the top and bottom KDJ determined, it can only point of the previous wave of high and low compared to KD values can not jump compared.
KDJ specifications in the actual operation of gold often appears valid and invalid payments * * *. invalid payment is based on KDJ gold * buy stocks after the stock price does not rise, but fell. on the validity of KDJ Gold *, we can take Zhou K line and K line at the combination of technical indicators KDJ to judge.
mobile computer teacher to force delivery of the Nuggets joined the Investment Banking Club 888 gold hand】 【fishing hands of a professional ultimate sentiment fried golden hand】 【fishing KDJ Precision Solutions (b)
KDJ (Stochastics) mm random targets, short-term overbought and oversold indicator.
Sword
1.K down the value of D values for cross-selling , K D values in the value of buying up the cross.
2. grade down cross-validation in two consecutive losses, low-end up cross-validation in two consecutive gains.
3.D value <20 oversold (for buy), D values> 80 overbought (for sale), J value> 100 overbought, J value of do not buy do not sell).
5. speculative stocks do not apply too (easy to passive, ultra-strong market with average line).
flaws
abnormal market indicator does not apply when hovering.
crack
1. volatile time out, or give up the use KD indicators CCI, ROC, BOLLINGER BANDS other.
2. Reference VR, ROC, observe whether a stock is beyond the scope of the normal distribution, Once for the extreme strength of the trend, KD overbought oversold feature useless (super strong market with average line).
3. can be observed deviation from KD value and price to confirm the high and low, looking away from than with the KD value MACD is also useful, away from selling the top and bottom away from m to buy.
Cheats
1.KDJ indicators should be used in conjunction with the RSI indicator (look KDJ, look at the RSI).
2. in the best long-term use moving average index, can not use KDJ indicator.
3. overbought and oversold to see DJ, K overbought and oversold does not mean that only from the cross-role. J is a sensitive index, leading indicators, J market changes indicate a change.
4.60? 40 between the consolidation, do not buy not sell.
5.KD wore 91, sold the stock to rest, KD fell 7-8, buy some stock made to wait.
6. Key to master: second cross, K does not indicate overbought oversold, only do not do long-short.
Note: After high price, KD will be easier to over 80.
Experience 1: MACD, D oversold, D oversold, the second cross, to buy.
Experience 2: After the stock price high, K value 50? 60, Alice 60 head, buy, do short-term, profit-left (about 7% ), can not be greedy.
KDJ indicator is also called the principle of
KDJ Stochastic indicators, by George. blue with Dr (George Lane) was first proposed, is a very innovative, practical and technical analysis indicators, it At first used for the analysis of futures markets, was widely used for short-term stock market trend analysis, futures and stock market technical analysis tools most commonly used. Section KDJ indicator principle and calculation method
one, KDJ indicator KDJ
Stochastic principles generally based on the principles of statistics, through a specific period (usually 9, 9 weeks, etc.) appeared within the high, low, and the last closing price of computing cycles, and this proportional relationship between the three, to calculate the final calculation of random values immature period RSV, and then smoothed moving average method to calculate the K values, D values and J values, and plotted graphs of determining the stock trend.
Stochastic KDJ is the highest price, the lowest closing price for the basic data and calculations, the resulting K values, D values and J values were formed in the target coordinates of a point, the connection point of numerous such bits to form a complete, can reflect the trend of price fluctuations KDJ indicator. It is mainly used to price fluctuations in the real volatility of price movements reflect the strength and overbought oversold, not increase or decrease in price before the trading signals issued a technical tool. It is mainly in the design process of high, low and close relationship between the integration of the momentum but also the concept of strong and weak indicators and moving averages some of the advantages, therefore, be able to compare quickly , fast, intuitive judgments market. Stochastic KDJ is the earliest form of KD indicators, and KD Williams indicators index is developed on the basis of. But only the judge, William indicators overbought oversold stocks phenomenon in KDJ indicators are moving average convergence speed of the concept of developing a more accurate basis for trading signals. In practice, K line and D line with the J line integral KDJ indicators to use. KDJ line as a random fluctuation is essentially the concept of Therefore, its short-term market trend for the control more accurate.
General Section index judged
KDJ Stochastic KDJ mainly through the K, D and J posed by the three curves to analyze the relationship between the graphics on the stock market overbought oversold trend and departure from the K line, D line and J lines are cross * break and so, in order to predict stock prices, the short-term and long-term trends. KDJ is well known to most investors on the market analysis tools, but the specific use, investors may find KDJ trend analysis results and the actual existence of a particularly big difference, and sometimes come to opposite conclusions, which mainly because most investors only know KDJ the general principles and methods of analysis and analysis of indicators of KDJ some meaning and little is known about the specific analytical skills. This section describes the stock market analysis at the popular market in general judged KDJ techniques and analysis methods, focusing on the internal law of mining KDJ indicators, detailed analysis of the KDJ judged some special features.
KDJ indicator is the three curves, in the application of standards KDJ indicators generally judged mainly from the values of three parameters KDJ, KDJ curve shape, KDJ curves cross *, KDJ departure from the curve and K line, D line, J line running and KDJ curve with the curve with the price of six aspects to consider.
one, KDJ values
1, the range of indicators
KDJ , K value and D value range is 0-100, while the range of J values can exceed 100 and below 0, but in the analysis software's analysis on the scope of KDJ is 0-100. usually sensitive terms, J values of the strongest, K value of the second, D the value of the slowest, but in terms of safety, J value of the worst, K value of the second, D value is the most stable.
2, overbought oversold signals According to the value
KDJ can be divided into several regions, that is overbought zone, oversold area and wandering area. As a general criteria for the classification, K, D, J 20 the following three values for the oversold zone is the buy signal; K, D, J these three values in overbought zone above 80, is the sell signal; K, D, J between these three values is hovering in the 20-80 area, should wait and see.
3, the long and short of power
Generally, when K, D, J c values near 50, both long and short that the balance of power; when the K, D, J c values are greater than 50, said the multi- dominant power; when the K, D, J c values are less than 50, said Kongfangliliang dominant.
Second, KDJ curve shape
KDJ indicator can also be judged from the curve shape to analyze KDJ . When KDJ index of the element forms the end of the formation of head and shoulders, double top and bottom morphology (ie, M Head, W end) and triple tops and bottoms and other forms, they can be judged according to the method of formation theory to analyze. KDJ the various curves form is to determine market trends, a decision analysis trading opportunity. In addition, KDJ index curve can also draw trend lines, pressure lines and support lines.
1, when the KDJ curve above the high of 50, if KDJ the trend curve M head or triple top formation and other top reversal pattern, may indicate a strong turn by the weak stock prices, stock prices will collapse, it is timely to sell the stock. If the price curve also appeared to confirm the same shape even more, The decline in M can be used such as head or triple top formation theory to judgments.
2, KDJ curve when the low of 50 below, if the trend curve KDJ W appears at the bottom end or the triple bottom reversal pattern, etc., may indicate became strong from a weak stock, the stock will bounce up and can absorb a small amount of bargain stocks. If the share price also appears the same shape curve can confirm that the increase can be the end of Form W or triple bottom theory judged.
3, KDJ curve shape in the form of M top of the head and the accuracy of the triple W to be greater than the bottom end and triple.
three, KDJ curve curve intersection *
KDJ divided into the gold cross cross * cross * * and two deaths forms
general, in a stock rally and the decline in the integrity of the process, KDJ indicator of K, D, J line will appear twice or more of the AC * death When the stock market will show a stronger share price decline has ended, will climb up, you can start buying the stock, the medium and long term positions. KDJ indicator is the 2, when the stock price increases over time in the process of market consolidation, and K, D, J lines are hovering near the line at 50, once the J line and K line break up again almost at the same D line, when the volume of re-release, showed that among the stock market is in a strong stock price will rise again, you can buy stocks or shares to be coded up, and this is KDJ indicator a rise in pre-market long after the price increase has a great case, once the J line and K line in the high (80 or above) is almost the same time breaking down the D line, indicating that the stock market is about to become weak by the strong share price will crash, when most of the stock should be sold and can not buy stocks, and this is KDJ indicator of the lack of upward momentum rally, the stock price of various moving average to form a strong pressure, KDJ curve to 80 after a brief rally near the line, but failed to return for more than 80 lines, once the J line and K line break down again D line, that the stock market will once again enter the extremely Ruoshi, the stock price will fall, you can then sell the shares or wait and see, this is KDJ indicator curve deviated from the curve deviated from the
KDJ KDJ indicator means when the movement direction of the curve and just the trend line graph K the opposite direction. KDJ indicators have deviated away from the top and bottom two kinds of departure.
when the stock price K line graph on the stock trend of a peak than a peak, the share price has to rise, and KDJ curve on KDJ indicator of the trend is at a high level of a peak than a peak is low, called the top against the phenomenon. top against the phenomenon is generally price will be high reversal of the signal that the stock will decline in the short term, is a sell signal.
K when the stock price on the stock trend chart for a lower peak than a peak, the share price to fall, and KDJ KDJ graph indicators on the trend is in the low end to one end of a high and called low departure from the phenomenon. the end of the stock price will deviate from the general phenomenon of low reversal signal that the stock will rise in the short term, is a buy signal.
and other technologies departure from the phenomenon of the same indicators judged, KDJ's departure, the departure from the top of the judged accuracy than DIFF. When the stock price at a high level, KDJ appeared in more than 80 top-divergence, that is about to reverse the downward stock price, investors in a timely manner sell the stock; the share price low, KDJ is also low (50 below) appears at the end deviation, generally repeated several times to confirm the departure end, and investors can only do short-term investment strategy or do Jiancang.
five , K, D, J curve running state
1, when the J curve starts at the bottom (below 50) to break up K curve, indicating weak stock price consolidation pattern may be broken, the upward movement of short-term stock price, investors can consider a small amount of long-term positions. 2, when K J curve upward curve and quickly break up the movement as well as break up the curve D curve, indicating that long-term share price rally has begun, investors can buy shares to increase the intensity.
3, when K, D, J curves begin to emerge from previous narrow range consolidation and rapid upward movement at the same time, indicating a strong short-term stock price has been pulled into the market, investors should be holding up strongly.
4, when J curve after a period of rapid upward movement after the process at a high level (80 or more) down to U-turn, indicating the short-term stock price rose too quickly, will start short-term adjustments, investors can short sell the stock.
5, when the D curve began in the high turn down, indicating the short-term price rally may be over, investors should sell the stock neutral. 6, when the K curve downward turn began when at a high level, indicating that short-term rise in stock prices has ended, Investors should leave all the clearing.
7, when K, D, J curve downward from a high level at the same time when the stock price decline that has been formed, investors should firmly hold out.
six, KDJ curve used in conjunction with the price curve
1, when the price curve from the curve and KDJ low (KDJ values were below 50) increased simultaneously, suggesting that long-term trend of stock prices to improve, short-term price trend is expected to continue rising, investors should to continue holding or bargain hunters.
2, when the price curve from KDJ curve and high (KDJ values are above 50) Synchronous decreased, indicating that the short-term stock price will continue to decline, investors should continue to hold out or sell into rallies.
3, when the KDJ curve down from a high, after a strong correction after a period of time up again and hit a new high, while the price curve is also high after a strong correction to rise again hit a new high, indicating that the stock's upward momentum still strong, investors can continue to be holding up.
4, when dropped from a high KDJ curve, over time, upward again after consolidation, but the previous high near the Shique turn down, unable to hit a new high When the price curve is still rising slowly, and hit a new high, KDJ curve and high price curve in the opposite trend formed, which could mean rising stock prices began to weaken the power, KDJ indicator top against the emergence of the phenomenon. At this time investment should be careful, once the stock price from the bottom should be firm and timely manner to leave.
5, when the KDJ curve down in the long process of the disadvantaged, vulnerable after a period of time after the rebound and hit a new low again down, while the price curve down again after the weak consolidation new low, indicating that the decline in stock price momentum is still strong, investors can continue to hold out.
6, when the KDJ curve upward rebound from a low to a certain high level, fell down again, but callback to the previous low of near stabilized stabilized, failed to hit a new low, while the curves are still slow decline in stock prices and new lows, KDJ curve and the curve in the low stock price formation opposite trend, which may mean fell kinetic energy of the starting weak, KDJ indicator appears at the end away from the phenomenon. At this point investors should pay close attention to price movements, once short-term stock prices can buy up to wait for the emergence of a rebound.
KDJ curve position and the direction in which the
(a) of the shares to be up signal
1, when the KDJ curve 80 after the break up, if KDJ curve has been run in more than 80 regions, the mean price in a strong rally, and that this index is issued KDJ signal to be holding up, if the share price in the short-term moving average also rely on the uplink, such a holding signal more obvious. At this point, investors should be up strongly short-term holdings.
2, when the KDJ curve while the three curves up operation, that is in a strong rise in stock prices, and that this is also the issue of shares to be up KDJ signal. KDJ indicators as long as the K line and the J line is not down below D line and D line of the direction is always upward investors may be holding all the way up.
(b) hold out signaling
1, when the KDJ curve break down after 50, if the curve has been running at 50 KDJ the following areas, it means that stock prices are Vulnerable down market, and that this is the issue of holding money KDJ indicator signal to be up, if the stock also was down in the suppression of short-term moving average, which hold out the signal even more obvious. At this point, investors should firmly hold out. < br> 2, when the KDJ curve in the high (50 or more) dead *, if the three curves diverge down the same time, that is in a weak stock market being down, which is issued by the hold out KDJ indicator signal. At this point, Investors should wait and see holding firm. This holding signals more obvious. At this point, investors should be up strongly short-term holdings.
conditions: when a stock technical indicators to a golden week KDJ *, then five weeks all content must be less than the amount of ten weeks were then KDJ technical indicators During the five days were less than ten daily average, also the formation of gold *, this time for effective payment *.
KDJ indicator of actual combat experience in application of ideas
commonly used in traditional brokerage Qianlong software, there are dozens of technical indicators for new investors to investors at a loss, with the popularization of computers, especially the stock of professional software innovation, some of the stock software with self index function, leaving fans never tired of bold adaptation of technology innovation indicators, indicators of popular online even tens of thousands, but also to dazzle the old shareholders, in fact, aim, nothing more than average price and volume variation of different combinations of expression, the real valuable new ideas can be described as rare, several commonly used anti-classic as the traditional indicators of utility, of course, to really grasp the essence of the magical need 下一番功夫. Three Kingdoms Zhao big guns that can be vertical and horizontal bar world, not the gun itself * , but that the shot-gun users!
any technical indicator has its own flaws and limitations, such as the MACD trend in the blind spot of turbulence, KDJ type of passivation squeeze blind sided pagoda pair top and bottom of the blind, the pressure of moving average support for the validity of the adjustment in place of the blind, turnover on the ship can not tell the blind Xihuo and so on. We can make up for other indicators to each other deficiencies, such as using KDJ, CDP to cover the auxiliary MACD system; CCI, DMI to compensate KDJ system; KDJ, RSI to make up for average system; KDJ, RSI to make up for departure from the Pagoda line system; stock average high and low level and the K line to compensate for turnover of the blind, etc., etc., of course, sometimes an indicator Another indicator can not fully compensate for the defects, you need to look at this issue Discrimination.
Applications: 1) K line is to quickly identify lines - values above the 90 overbought and values below 10 is oversold;
D line is the slow backbone - value above 80 is overbought, oversold following values at 20;
J line is direction sensitive line, when J is greater than 100, especially for 5 days or more, the formation of the head at least short-term stock price, whereas J is less than 0, in particular, for several days, the stock will form at least short-term bottom.
2) When the K value is greater than the small D value gradually, the graph K line from the bottom on display through D line, shows the current trend is upward, so the K line on the graph to break up D line, is the buy signal.
real time when the K, D line 20 the following exchange * up, this time short-term buy signal is more accurate; If the K values below 50, from bottom to top through two successive rounds of the D value, the formation of the right than the left end of the high end stock market outlook, there may be considerable gains.
3) When the K value gradually from the larger value is less than D, K line on the graph shows beneath the D line from the top, shows the current trend is downward, so the graph break down on the K line D line, is the sell signal.
actual combat when the K, D lines cross above 80 * down, this time short-term sell signal is more accurate; if the K value 50 or more, from top to bottom beneath the D value of two successive, forming the right head and left head lower than the departure from the trend of stock prices to determine top and bottom is also quite practical way:
A) shares high, while the KD value is not high, for the top away from, should sell;
B) stock prices to new lows, and KD value is not new lows for the MACD should buy;
C) stock price is not high, and KD values of a new high, away from the top, should sell;
D) is not a new low price, while the KD value new lows for the MACD should buy;
to note that departure from the top and bottom KDJ determined, it can only point of the previous wave of high and low compared to KD values can not jump compared.
KDJ specifications in the actual operation of gold often appears valid and invalid payments * * *. invalid payment is based on KDJ gold * buy stocks after the stock price does not rise, but fell. on the validity of KDJ Gold *, we can take Zhou K line and K line at the combination of technical indicators KDJ to judge.
mobile computer teacher to force delivery of the Nuggets joined the Investment Banking Club 888 gold hand】 【fishing hands of a professional ultimate sentiment fried golden hand】 【fishing KDJ Precision Solutions (b)
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